مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alex Molcan v Ben Shelton

البداية: 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alex Molcan (المضيف)

التنبؤ 30.02%3.33السعر العادل
EV +3.85%
الأفضلية +1.11%
Kelly +1.57%
النمو +0.060%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.46

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.12%29.93%30.23%32.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.153.153.4634.48%31.70%31.75%28.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Ben Shelton (الضيف)

التنبؤ 69.98%1.43السعر العادل
EV -2.02%
الأفضلية -1.44%
Kelly -5.05%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.76%70.07%69.77%71.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.301.351.351.4076.92%74.04%74.07%71.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.46I 28.90%NM 28.22%EV +3.85%E +1.11%K +1.57%G +0.060%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.78%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 12:50
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.05%E +0.604%K +0.855%G +0.018%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +0.552%E +0.165%K +0.235%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 06:30
Betclic (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +0.552%E +0.165%K +0.235%G +0.001%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 12:49
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.949%E -0.287%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 12:44
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 11:30
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 11:30
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 12:50
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.45%E -0.754%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -8.32%E -6.35%K -26.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 12:49
GTbets3.21I 31.15%NM 30.37%EV -3.65%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.63%EV -2.02%E -1.44%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-18 12:01
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 05:54
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 12:01
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:45
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:00
Bally Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:01
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.02%E -6.94%K -30.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 09:24
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.02%E -6.94%K -30.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 12:49
Coolbet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.55%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 10:49
1xBet3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -4.85%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -3.42%E -2.48%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 11:45
FanDuel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.12%E -3.01%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 12:49
Fanatics3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 09:10
ReBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:31
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 06:30
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 12:01
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 12:01
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -6.35%E -2.04%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 12:01
SportsBet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%EV -6.35%E -2.04%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -6.22%E -4.64%K -18.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 12:49
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.42%E -2.48%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 12:45
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 07:20
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 06:00
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 09:25
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:30
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:30
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 09:10
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 09:10
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 09:10
Fliff3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.22%E -4.64%K -18.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 09:25
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.95%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.62%E -5.77%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 12:01
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 12:49
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.02%E -1.44%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 04:50
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.82%E -3.54%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 06:00
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 06:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 06:00
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.52%E -4.09%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 06:01
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 11:59
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.95%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.92%E -5.20%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 12:50
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.95%E -4.47%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.42%E -2.48%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 20:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-18 12:50
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-18 12:45
Novig3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-04-18 12:50
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-04-18 12:50