StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jiri Lehecka v Emilio Nava

Matchstart: 2026-04-06 11:10 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jiri Lehecka (Hemma)

Prognos 73.89%1.35rättvist odds
EV -3.20%
Fördel -2.44%
Kelly -10.33%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.31

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
71.90%74.18%73.92%77.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.201.271.271.3183.33%78.61%78.74%76.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Emilio Nava (Borta)

Prognos 26.11%3.83rättvist odds
EV +8.35%
Fördel +2.01%
Kelly +2.65%
Tillväxt +0.221%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.15

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.43%25.82%26.08%28.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.643.604.1530.30%27.50%27.78%24.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jiri Lehecka (Hemma): 73.89%; Emilio Nava (Borta): 26.11%. För Emilio Nava (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.83. 8 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.15, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +8.35%.

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -8.37%E -6.75%K -34.89%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +8.35%E +2.01%K +2.65%G +0.221%4.7%2026-04-06 11:05
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -11.33%E -9.44%K -56.64%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV +8.35%E +2.01%K +2.65%G +0.221%7.4%2026-04-06 11:05
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.44%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.56%EV +7.56%E +1.84%K +2.42%G +0.183%3.0%2026-04-06 11:00
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -9.85%E -8.07%K -44.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +7.04%E +1.72%K +2.27%G +0.160%6.4%2026-04-06 11:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV +5.21%E +1.29%K +1.72%G +0.090%4.2%2026-04-06 10:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV +5.21%E +1.29%K +1.72%G +0.090%4.2%2026-04-06 10:50
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.85%E -8.07%K -44.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.43%E +1.11%K +1.48%G +0.065%7.0%2026-04-06 11:05
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.23%EV +2.86%E +0.727%K +0.974%G +0.028%4.7%2026-04-06 11:02
Bet Right🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -0.792%E -0.208%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.792%E -0.208%K -0.283%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 11:04
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 11:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 11:03
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 11:04
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 11:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 11:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 11:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.40%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:49
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 09:35
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 10:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 09:35
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.33%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.67%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 10:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.20%E -2.44%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 11:05
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:14
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 11:05
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:00
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 11:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 09:40
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:05
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:05
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:05
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:05
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.10%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 11:05
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 10:50
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 10:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 10:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 11:04
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 11:05
Fliff🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 11:05
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 10:50
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 11:04
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 10:50
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 11:05
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 10:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -8.37%E -6.75%K -34.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 11:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-04-06 11:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-04-06 11:05
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-04-06 11:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-04-06 11:00
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-04-06 11:00
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 77.32%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.68%1.8%2026-04-06 11:00
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-04-06 11:05