مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jiri Lehecka v Emilio Nava

البداية: 2026-04-06 11:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jiri Lehecka (المضيف)

التنبؤ 73.89%1.35السعر العادل
EV -3.20%
الأفضلية -2.44%
Kelly -10.33%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
71.90%74.18%73.92%77.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.201.271.271.3183.33%78.61%78.74%76.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Emilio Nava (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.11%3.83السعر العادل
EV +8.35%
الأفضلية +2.01%
Kelly +2.65%
النمو +0.221%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.43%25.82%26.08%28.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.643.604.1530.30%27.50%27.78%24.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -8.37%E -6.75%K -34.89%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +8.35%E +2.01%K +2.65%G +0.221%4.7%2026-04-06 11:05
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -11.33%E -9.44%K -56.64%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV +8.35%E +2.01%K +2.65%G +0.221%7.4%2026-04-06 11:05
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 76.44%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.56%EV +7.56%E +1.84%K +2.42%G +0.183%3.0%2026-04-06 11:00
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -9.85%E -8.07%K -44.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +7.04%E +1.72%K +2.27%G +0.160%6.4%2026-04-06 11:05
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV +5.21%E +1.29%K +1.72%G +0.090%4.2%2026-04-06 10:50
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV +5.21%E +1.29%K +1.72%G +0.090%4.2%2026-04-06 10:50
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.85%E -8.07%K -44.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.43%E +1.11%K +1.48%G +0.065%7.0%2026-04-06 11:05
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.23%EV +2.86%E +0.727%K +0.974%G +0.028%4.7%2026-04-06 11:02
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -0.792%E -0.208%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.792%E -0.208%K -0.283%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 11:04
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 11:01
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 11:03
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 11:04
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 11:05
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 11:05
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 11:05
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.40%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:49
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 09:35
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 10:05
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 09:35
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 74.33%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.67%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 10:05
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.20%E -2.44%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 11:05
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:14
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 11:05
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:00
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 11:05
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 09:40
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:05
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:05
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:05
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:05
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:05
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:05
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:05
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:05
DraftKings1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.10%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 11:05
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 10:50
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 10:50
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 10:50
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 11:04
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 11:05
Fliff1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 11:05
theScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 10:50
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:05
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:05
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:05
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 11:04
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:05
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 10:50
LeoVegas1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 11:05
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 10:50
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -8.37%E -6.75%K -34.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 11:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-04-06 11:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-04-06 11:05
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-04-06 11:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-04-06 11:00
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-04-06 11:00
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 77.32%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.68%1.8%2026-04-06 11:00
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-04-06 11:05