Die Wettquotenschule

Jiri Lehecka v Emilio Nava

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-06 11:10 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

57 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Jiri Lehecka (Heim)

Prognose 73.89%1.35faire Quote
EV -3.20%
Vorteil -2.44%
Kelly -10.33%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.31

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
71.90%74.18%73.92%77.57%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.201.271.271.3183.33%78.61%78.74%76.34%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Emilio Nava (Auswärts)

Prognose 26.11%3.83faire Quote
EV +8.35%
Vorteil +2.01%
Kelly +2.65%
Wachstum +0.221%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.15

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.43%25.82%26.08%28.10%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.303.643.604.1530.30%27.50%27.78%24.10%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (57 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -8.37%E -6.75%K -34.89%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +8.35%E +2.01%K +2.65%G +0.221%4.7%2026-04-06 11:05
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -11.33%E -9.44%K -56.64%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV +8.35%E +2.01%K +2.65%G +0.221%7.4%2026-04-06 11:05
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 76.44%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.56%EV +7.56%E +1.84%K +2.42%G +0.183%3.0%2026-04-06 11:00
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -9.85%E -8.07%K -44.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +7.04%E +1.72%K +2.27%G +0.160%6.4%2026-04-06 11:05
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV +5.21%E +1.29%K +1.72%G +0.090%4.2%2026-04-06 10:50
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV +5.21%E +1.29%K +1.72%G +0.090%4.2%2026-04-06 10:50
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.85%E -8.07%K -44.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.43%E +1.11%K +1.48%G +0.065%7.0%2026-04-06 11:05
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.23%EV +2.86%E +0.727%K +0.974%G +0.028%4.7%2026-04-06 11:02
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -0.792%E -0.208%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.792%E -0.208%K -0.283%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 11:04
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 11:01
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 11:03
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 11:04
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 11:05
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 11:05
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 11:05
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.40%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 10:49
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 09:35
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 10:05
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 09:35
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 74.33%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.67%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 10:05
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.20%E -2.44%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 11:05
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:14
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 11:05
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:00
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:00
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 11:05
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 09:40
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:05
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:05
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:05
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:05
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:05
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:05
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:05
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 11:05
DraftKings1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.10%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 11:05
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 10:50
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 10:50
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 10:50
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 11:04
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 11:05
Fliff1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 11:05
theScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 10:50
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:05
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:05
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:05
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 11:04
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:05
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 10:50
LeoVegas1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 11:05
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 10:50
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -8.37%E -6.75%K -34.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 11:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-04-06 11:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-04-06 11:05
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-04-06 11:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-04-06 11:00
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-04-06 11:00
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 77.32%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.68%1.8%2026-04-06 11:00
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-04-06 11:05