Langue:Français
Jiri Lehecka v Emilio Nava
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Prévision 73.89%1.35cote équitable
EV -3.20%
Avantage -2.44%
Kelly -10.33%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.90%74.18%73.92%77.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.271.271.3183.33%78.61%78.74%76.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Emilio Nava (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.11%3.83cote équitable
EV +8.35%
Avantage +2.01%
Kelly +2.65%
Croissance +0.221%
avec la cote maximale 4.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.43%25.82%26.08%28.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.643.604.1530.30%27.50%27.78%24.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jiri Lehecka (Local) : 73.89% ; Emilio Nava (Visiteur) : 26.11%. Pour Emilio Nava (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.83. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.15, soit une espérance positive de +8.35%.
Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -8.37%E -6.75%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +8.35%E +2.01%K +2.65%G +0.221% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -11.33%E -9.44%K -56.64%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV +8.35%E +2.01%K +2.65%G +0.221% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.44%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.56%EV +7.56%E +1.84%K +2.42%G +0.183% | 3.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -9.85%E -8.07%K -44.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +7.04%E +1.72%K +2.27%G +0.160% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV +5.21%E +1.29%K +1.72%G +0.090% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV +5.21%E +1.29%K +1.72%G +0.090% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.85%E -8.07%K -44.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.43%E +1.11%K +1.48%G +0.065% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.23%EV +2.86%E +0.727%K +0.974%G +0.028% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 11:02 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -0.792%E -0.208%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.792%E -0.208%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 11:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 11:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 11:03 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 11:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.40%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 09:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 10:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 09:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.33%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.67%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 10:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.20%E -2.44%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 19:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 09:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.10%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 11:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 11:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -8.37%E -6.75%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.32% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.68% | 1.8% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 2.6% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |