La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Jiri Lehecka v Emilio Nava
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Jiri Lehecka (Casa)
Previsione 73.89%1.35quota equa
EV -3.20%
Vantaggio -2.44%
Kelly -10.33%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.31
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.90%74.18%73.92%77.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.271.271.3183.33%78.61%78.74%76.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Emilio Nava (Trasferta)
Previsione 26.11%3.83quota equa
EV +8.35%
Vantaggio +2.01%
Kelly +2.65%
Crescita +0.221%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.43%25.82%26.08%28.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.643.604.1530.30%27.50%27.78%24.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -8.37%E -6.75%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +8.35%E +2.01%K +2.65%G +0.221% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -11.33%E -9.44%K -56.64%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV +8.35%E +2.01%K +2.65%G +0.221% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.44%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.56%EV +7.56%E +1.84%K +2.42%G +0.183% | 3.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -9.85%E -8.07%K -44.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +7.04%E +1.72%K +2.27%G +0.160% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV +5.21%E +1.29%K +1.72%G +0.090% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV +5.21%E +1.29%K +1.72%G +0.090% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.85%E -8.07%K -44.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.43%E +1.11%K +1.48%G +0.065% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.23%EV +2.86%E +0.727%K +0.974%G +0.028% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 11:02 |
| Bet Right | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -0.792%E -0.208%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Caesars | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.792%E -0.208%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 11:04 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 11:01 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 11:03 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 11:04 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.40%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| ReBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 09:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 10:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 09:35 |
| GTbets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.33%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.67%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 10:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.20%E -2.44%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 19:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Neds | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| TAB | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 09:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| betPARX | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.10%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 11:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Fliff | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 11:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -8.37%E -6.75%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Novig | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.32% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.68% | 1.8% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 2.6% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |