La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jiri Lehecka v Emilio Nava
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Predicción 73.89%1.35momio equitativo
EV -3.20%
Ventaja -2.44%
Kelly -10.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.90%74.18%73.92%77.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.271.271.3183.33%78.61%78.74%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Emilio Nava (Visitante)
Predicción 26.11%3.83momio equitativo
EV +8.35%
Ventaja +2.01%
Kelly +2.65%
Crecimiento +0.221%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.43%25.82%26.08%28.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.643.604.1530.30%27.50%27.78%24.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -8.37%E -6.75%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +8.35%E +2.01%K +2.65%G +0.221% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -11.33%E -9.44%K -56.64%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV +8.35%E +2.01%K +2.65%G +0.221% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.44%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.56%EV +7.56%E +1.84%K +2.42%G +0.183% | 3.0% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -9.85%E -8.07%K -44.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +7.04%E +1.72%K +2.27%G +0.160% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV +5.21%E +1.29%K +1.72%G +0.090% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV +5.21%E +1.29%K +1.72%G +0.090% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.85%E -8.07%K -44.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.43%E +1.11%K +1.48%G +0.065% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.23%EV +2.86%E +0.727%K +0.974%G +0.028% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 11:02 |
| Bet Right | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -0.792%E -0.208%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Caesars | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.792%E -0.208%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 11:04 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 11:01 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 11:03 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 11:04 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.10%E -0.559%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.40%E -0.920%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 10:49 |
| ReBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 09:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 10:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 09:35 |
| GTbets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.33%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.67%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 10:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.20%E -2.44%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 19:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Neds | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| TAB | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 09:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| betPARX | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.10%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 11:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Fliff | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.63%E -6.11%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.42%E -4.23%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -9.93%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 11:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.16%E -4.85%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.90%E -5.47%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 10:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -8.37%E -6.75%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -13.85%E -4.20%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Novig | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.32% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.68% | 1.8% | 2026-04-06 11:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 2.6% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |