The School of Odds

Damir Dzumhur v Fabian Marozsan

Matchstart: 2026-04-07 11:20 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Damir Dzumhur (Hemma)

Prognos 30.66%3.26rättvist odds
EV +1.19%
Fördel +0.361%
Kelly +0.517%
Tillväxt +0.006%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.73%30.80%30.26%34.31%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.702.972.903.3037.04%33.69%34.48%30.30%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Fabian Marozsan (Borta)

Prognos 69.34%1.44rättvist odds
EV -0.155%
Fördel -0.108%
Kelly -0.353%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.44

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
65.69%69.20%69.74%71.27%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.281.391.401.4478.13%72.17%71.43%69.44%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 11:14
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 11:14
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 11:15
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 11:14
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 11:14
FanDuel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.344%E -0.106%K -0.153%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 11:15
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -0.344%E -0.106%K -0.153%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 11:15
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.344%E -0.106%K -0.153%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 11:15
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -0.344%E -0.106%K -0.153%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.48%E -6.42%K -26.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 11:15
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.88%E -0.586%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 11:15
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.88%E -0.586%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 11:15
ReBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.01%E -3.66%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 11:08
Fanatics3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -9.17%E -7.00%K -29.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-07 11:15
GTbets3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -5.86%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 11:15
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-07 11:15
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -9.86%E -7.59%K -32.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 11:13
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.62%E -2.61%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 11:15
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 11:14
Pinnacle2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -0.155%E -0.108%K -0.353%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-07 11:15
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -3.62%E -2.61%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 11:15
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -7.09%E -5.29%K -20.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-07 11:08
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -11.25%E -8.79%K -40.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-07 11:15
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 11:14
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 11:14
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 11:15
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-07 11:06
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.00%E -4.18%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.00%E -4.18%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 11:15
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -0.155%E -0.108%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 11:15
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 11:15
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 11:15
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 11:15
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 11:15
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 11:15
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 11:15
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 11:15
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 11:15
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 11:15
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 11:15
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 11:15
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 11:15
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 11:15
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -15.68%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 11:15
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -15.68%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 11:15
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -17.21%E -6.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 11:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%2.8%2026-04-07 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%4.2%2026-04-07 11:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%4.2%2026-04-07 11:15
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%7.5%2026-04-07 11:15