La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Damir Dzumhur v Fabian Marozsan
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Damir Dzumhur (Casa)
Previsione 30.66%3.26quota equa
EV +1.19%
Vantaggio +0.361%
Kelly +0.517%
Crescita +0.006%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.73%30.80%30.26%34.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.972.903.3037.04%33.69%34.48%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Fabian Marozsan (Trasferta)
Previsione 69.34%1.44quota equa
EV -0.155%
Vantaggio -0.108%
Kelly -0.353%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.69%69.20%69.74%71.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.281.391.401.4478.13%72.17%71.43%69.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| FanDuel | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.344%E -0.106%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| SportsBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -0.344%E -0.106%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| theScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.344%E -0.106%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -0.344%E -0.106%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.48%E -6.42%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.88%E -0.586%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.88%E -0.586%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| ReBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.01%E -3.66%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 11:08 |
| Fanatics | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -9.17%E -7.00%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| GTbets | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -5.86%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Coolbet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -9.86%E -7.59%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-07 11:13 |
| Bet Right | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.62%E -2.61%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Caesars | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| Pinnacle | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -0.155%E -0.108%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -3.62%E -2.61%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -7.09%E -5.29%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 11:08 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -11.25%E -8.79%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| Betsson | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-07 11:06 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.00%E -4.18%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.00%E -4.18%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -0.155%E -0.108%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Bally Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -15.68%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -15.68%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -17.21%E -6.37%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51% | 2.8% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |