La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Damir Dzumhur v Fabian Marozsan
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Damir Dzumhur (Local)
Predicción 30.66%3.26momio equitativo
EV +1.19%
Ventaja +0.361%
Kelly +0.517%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.73%30.80%30.26%34.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.972.903.3037.04%33.69%34.48%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Fabian Marozsan (Visitante)
Predicción 69.34%1.44momio equitativo
EV -0.155%
Ventaja -0.108%
Kelly -0.353%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.69%69.20%69.74%71.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.391.401.4478.13%72.17%71.43%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| FanDuel | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.344%E -0.106%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| SportsBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -0.344%E -0.106%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| theScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.344%E -0.106%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -0.344%E -0.106%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.48%E -6.42%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.88%E -0.586%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.88%E -0.586%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| ReBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.01%E -3.66%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 11:08 |
| Fanatics | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -9.17%E -7.00%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| GTbets | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -5.86%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Coolbet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -9.86%E -7.59%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-07 11:13 |
| Bet Right | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.62%E -2.61%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Caesars | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| Pinnacle | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -0.155%E -0.108%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -3.62%E -2.61%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -7.09%E -5.29%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 11:08 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -11.25%E -8.79%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| Betsson | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-07 11:06 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.00%E -4.18%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.00%E -4.18%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -0.155%E -0.108%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Bally Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -15.68%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -15.68%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -17.21%E -6.37%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51% | 2.8% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |