Język:Polski
Damir Dzumhur v Fabian Marozsan
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Damir Dzumhur (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 30.66%3.26kurs godziwy
EV +1.19%
Przewaga +0.361%
Kelly +0.517%
Wzrost +0.006%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.30
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.73%30.80%30.26%34.31%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.702.972.903.3037.04%33.69%34.48%30.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Fabian Marozsan (Goście)
Prognoza 69.34%1.44kurs godziwy
EV -0.155%
Przewaga -0.108%
Kelly -0.353%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.44
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.69%69.20%69.74%71.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.281.391.401.4478.13%72.17%71.43%69.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Damir Dzumhur (Gospodarze): 30.66%; Fabian Marozsan (Goście): 69.34%. Dla wyniku Damir Dzumhur (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.26. 5 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.30, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.19%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (47 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.344%E -0.106%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -0.344%E -0.106%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.344%E -0.106%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -0.344%E -0.106%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.48%E -6.42%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.88%E -0.586%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.88%E -0.586%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.01%E -3.66%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 11:08 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -9.17%E -7.00%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -5.86%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -9.86%E -7.59%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-07 11:13 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.62%E -2.61%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -0.155%E -0.108%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -3.62%E -2.61%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -7.09%E -5.29%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 11:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -11.25%E -8.79%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-07 11:06 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.00%E -4.18%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.00%E -4.18%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -0.155%E -0.108%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -15.68%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -15.68%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -17.21%E -6.37%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (4)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51% | 2.8% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |