L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Damir Dzumhur v Fabian Marozsan
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Damir Dzumhur (Local)
Prévision 30.66%3.26cote équitable
EV +1.19%
Avantage +0.361%
Kelly +0.517%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.73%30.80%30.26%34.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.972.903.3037.04%33.69%34.48%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Fabian Marozsan (Visiteur)
Prévision 69.34%1.44cote équitable
EV -0.155%
Avantage -0.108%
Kelly -0.353%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.44
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.69%69.20%69.74%71.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.391.401.4478.13%72.17%71.43%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.19%E +0.361%K +0.517%G +0.006% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| FanDuel | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.344%E -0.106%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| SportsBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -0.344%E -0.106%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| theScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.344%E -0.106%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -0.344%E -0.106%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -8.48%E -6.42%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.88%E -0.586%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.88%E -0.586%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| ReBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.01%E -3.66%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 11:08 |
| Fanatics | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -9.17%E -7.00%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| GTbets | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -5.86%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.32%E -3.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Coolbet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -9.86%E -7.59%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-07 11:13 |
| Bet Right | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -3.62%E -2.61%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Caesars | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| Pinnacle | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -0.155%E -0.108%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -3.62%E -2.61%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -7.09%E -5.29%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 11:08 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -9.54%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -11.25%E -8.79%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| Betsson | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 11:14 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-07 11:06 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.00%E -4.18%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -12.00%E -4.18%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -0.155%E -0.108%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Bally Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -0.849%E -0.594%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -15.68%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -15.68%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -1.54%E -1.09%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -17.21%E -6.37%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -2.24%E -1.59%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51% | 2.8% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 11:15 |