Language:English
Zhizhen Zhang v Adrian Mannarino
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zhizhen Zhang (Local)
Prediction 51.08%1.96fair odd
EV +0.637%
Edge +0.323%
Kelly +0.656%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.88%51.24%50.92%57.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.851.871.9762.11%53.95%53.48%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Adrian Mannarino (Visit)
Prediction 48.92%2.04fair odd
EV +7.61%
Edge +3.46%
Kelly +6.34%
Growth +0.483%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.26%48.76%49.08%52.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.921.912.2055.87%52.01%52.36%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zhizhen Zhang (Local): 51.08%; Adrian Mannarino (Visit): 48.92%. For Adrian Mannarino (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.61%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -17.75%E -11.03%K -29.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +7.61%E +3.46%K +6.34%G +0.483% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -14.69%E -8.80%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +5.17%E +2.40%K +4.49%G +0.232% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -13.16%E -7.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +0.276%E +0.135%K +0.263%G +0.001% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -15.71%E -9.52%K -24.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV +0.276%E +0.135%K +0.263%G +0.001% | 9.4% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.52%E -3.56%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.54%E -4.16%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.54%E -4.16%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.54%E -4.16%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.62%E -6.72%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -12.65%E -7.39%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -2.66%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 16:36 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 16:36 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.52%E -3.56%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 16:38 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.49%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 16:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.45%E -1.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.08%E -3.17%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 16:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 16:26 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.49%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.00%E -3.26%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.00%E -3.26%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -7.55%E -3.99%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -7.54%E -4.16%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.385%E -0.197%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.385%E -0.197%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -1.41%E -0.729%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 16:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.49%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV +0.126%E +0.064%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -10.00%E -5.43%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -0.385%E -0.197%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -10.48%E -5.73%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.48%E -5.73%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -1.41%E -0.729%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -10.97%E -6.03%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV +0.637%E +0.323%K +0.656%G +0.004% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -11.46%E -6.33%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -1.41%E -0.729%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -11.46%E -6.33%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.95%E -6.64%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.95%E -6.64%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -12.44%E -6.95%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.3% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11% | 1.7% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |