مدرسة الاحتمالات

Zhizhen Zhang v Adrian Mannarino

البداية: 2026-03-19 17:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Zhizhen Zhang (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.08%1.96السعر العادل
EV +0.637%
الأفضلية +0.323%
Kelly +0.656%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.97

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.88%51.24%50.92%57.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.611.851.871.9762.11%53.95%53.48%50.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Adrian Mannarino (الضيف)

التنبؤ 48.92%2.04السعر العادل
EV +7.61%
الأفضلية +3.46%
Kelly +6.34%
النمو +0.483%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.26%48.76%49.08%52.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.791.921.912.2055.87%52.01%52.36%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -17.75%E -11.03%K -29.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +7.61%E +3.46%K +6.34%G +0.483%7.6%2026-03-19 16:39
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -14.69%E -8.80%K -21.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +5.17%E +2.40%K +4.49%G +0.232%6.4%2026-03-19 16:40
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -13.16%E -7.74%K -18.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +0.276%E +0.135%K +0.263%G +0.001%7.6%2026-03-19 16:39
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -15.71%E -9.52%K -24.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV +0.276%E +0.135%K +0.263%G +0.001%9.4%2026-03-19 16:39
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.52%E -3.56%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:44
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.54%E -4.16%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 16:39
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.54%E -4.16%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 16:39
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.54%E -4.16%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 16:39
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 16:44
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:44
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:44
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.62%E -6.72%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 16:44
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -12.65%E -7.39%K -17.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 16:44
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -2.66%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:36
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:36
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.52%E -3.56%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 16:38
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 16:44
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 16:29
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:29
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:44
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:44
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.49%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 16:35
ReBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.45%E -1.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.08%E -3.17%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:24
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 16:30
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 16:44
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:45
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:26
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.49%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 16:44
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:45
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.00%E -3.26%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:44
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.00%E -3.26%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:44
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -7.55%E -3.99%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:31
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:44
PMU (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -7.54%E -4.16%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-19 16:44
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.385%E -0.197%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:44
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.385%E -0.197%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:29
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -1.41%E -0.729%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 16:24
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.49%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 16:29
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV +0.126%E +0.064%K +0.131%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -10.00%E -5.43%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:44
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -0.385%E -0.197%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -10.48%E -5.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 16:45
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.48%E -5.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:45
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -1.41%E -0.729%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -10.97%E -6.03%K -13.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 16:45
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV +0.637%E +0.323%K +0.656%G +0.004%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -11.46%E -6.33%K -14.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 16:44
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -1.41%E -0.729%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -11.46%E -6.33%K -14.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.95%E -6.64%K -14.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 16:45
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.95%E -6.64%K -14.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 16:45
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -12.44%E -6.95%K -15.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 16:44
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-03-19 16:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-03-19 16:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-03-19 16:45
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.3%2026-03-19 16:44
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%1.7%2026-03-19 16:39
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%2.9%2026-03-19 16:45
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%2.9%2026-03-19 16:39