La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Zhizhen Zhang v Adrian Mannarino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zhizhen Zhang (Local)
Predicción 51.08%1.96momio equitativo
EV +0.637%
Ventaja +0.323%
Kelly +0.656%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.88%51.24%50.92%57.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.851.871.9762.11%53.95%53.48%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Adrian Mannarino (Visitante)
Predicción 48.92%2.04momio equitativo
EV +7.61%
Ventaja +3.46%
Kelly +6.34%
Crecimiento +0.483%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.26%48.76%49.08%52.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.791.921.912.2055.87%52.01%52.36%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -17.75%E -11.03%K -29.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +7.61%E +3.46%K +6.34%G +0.483% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -14.69%E -8.80%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +5.17%E +2.40%K +4.49%G +0.232% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -13.16%E -7.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +0.276%E +0.135%K +0.263%G +0.001% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -15.71%E -9.52%K -24.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV +0.276%E +0.135%K +0.263%G +0.001% | 9.4% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.52%E -3.56%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.54%E -4.16%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.54%E -4.16%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| betPARX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.54%E -4.16%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.62%E -6.72%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -12.65%E -7.39%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -2.66%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 16:36 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 16:36 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.52%E -3.56%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 16:38 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.49%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 16:35 |
| ReBet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.45%E -1.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.08%E -3.17%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 16:24 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 16:30 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 16:26 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.49%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.00%E -3.26%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.00%E -3.26%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -7.55%E -3.99%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:31 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -7.54%E -4.16%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.385%E -0.197%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.385%E -0.197%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| Bally Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -1.41%E -0.729%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 16:24 |
| Everygame | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.49%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| Unibet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV +0.126%E +0.064%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -10.00%E -5.43%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -0.385%E -0.197%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -10.48%E -5.73%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| Caesars | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.48%E -5.73%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -1.41%E -0.729%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -10.97%E -6.03%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV +0.637%E +0.323%K +0.656%G +0.004% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -11.46%E -6.33%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -1.41%E -0.729%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -11.46%E -6.33%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.95%E -6.64%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.95%E -6.64%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -12.44%E -6.95%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.3% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| ProphetX | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11% | 1.7% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |
| Smarkets | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 16:45 |
| Novig | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 16:39 |