L’École des cotes

Zhizhen Zhang v Adrian Mannarino

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Zhizhen Zhang (Local)

Prévision 51.08%1.96cote équitable
EV +0.637%
Avantage +0.323%
Kelly +0.656%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.88%51.24%50.92%57.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.851.871.9762.11%53.95%53.48%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Adrian Mannarino (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.92%2.04cote équitable
EV +7.61%
Avantage +3.46%
Kelly +6.34%
Croissance +0.483%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.26%48.76%49.08%52.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.791.921.912.2055.87%52.01%52.36%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -17.75%E -11.03%K -29.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +7.61%E +3.46%K +6.34%G +0.483%7.6%2026-03-19 16:39
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -14.69%E -8.80%K -21.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +5.17%E +2.40%K +4.49%G +0.232%6.4%2026-03-19 16:40
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -13.16%E -7.74%K -18.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +0.276%E +0.135%K +0.263%G +0.001%7.6%2026-03-19 16:39
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -15.71%E -9.52%K -24.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV +0.276%E +0.135%K +0.263%G +0.001%9.4%2026-03-19 16:39
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.52%E -3.56%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:44
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.54%E -4.16%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 16:39
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.54%E -4.16%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 16:39
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.54%E -4.16%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 16:39
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 16:44
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:44
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:44
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.62%E -6.72%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 16:44
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -12.65%E -7.39%K -17.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 16:44
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -2.66%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:36
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:36
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.52%E -3.56%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 16:38
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 16:44
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 16:29
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:29
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:44
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:44
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.49%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 16:35
ReBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.45%E -1.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.08%E -3.17%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:24
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 16:30
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 16:44
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:45
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:26
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.49%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 16:44
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:45
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.00%E -3.26%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:44
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.00%E -3.26%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:44
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -7.55%E -3.99%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:31
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:44
PMU (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -7.54%E -4.16%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-19 16:44
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.385%E -0.197%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:44
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.385%E -0.197%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:29
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -1.41%E -0.729%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 16:24
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.49%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 16:29
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV +0.126%E +0.064%K +0.131%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -10.00%E -5.43%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:44
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -0.385%E -0.197%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -10.48%E -5.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 16:45
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.48%E -5.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:45
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -1.41%E -0.729%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -10.97%E -6.03%K -13.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 16:45
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV +0.637%E +0.323%K +0.656%G +0.004%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -11.46%E -6.33%K -14.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 16:44
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -1.41%E -0.729%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -11.46%E -6.33%K -14.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.95%E -6.64%K -14.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 16:45
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.95%E -6.64%K -14.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 16:45
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -12.44%E -6.95%K -15.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 16:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-03-19 16:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-03-19 16:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-03-19 16:45
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.3%2026-03-19 16:44
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%1.7%2026-03-19 16:39
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%2.9%2026-03-19 16:45
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%2.9%2026-03-19 16:39