Школа коэффициентов

Zhizhen Zhang v Adrian Mannarino

Начало: 2026-03-19 17:30 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

51 букмекерская контора (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Zhizhen Zhang (Хозяева)

Прогноз 51.08%1.96справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.637%
Преимущество +0.323%
Kelly +0.656%
Рост +0.004%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.97

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.88%51.24%50.92%57.74%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.611.851.871.9762.11%53.95%53.48%50.76%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Adrian Mannarino (Гости)

Прогноз 48.92%2.04справедливый коэффициент
EV +7.61%
Преимущество +3.46%
Kelly +6.34%
Рост +0.483%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.26%48.76%49.08%52.12%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.791.921.912.2055.87%52.01%52.36%45.45%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -17.75%E -11.03%K -29.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +7.61%E +3.46%K +6.34%G +0.483%7.6%2026-03-19 16:39
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -14.69%E -8.80%K -21.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +5.17%E +2.40%K +4.49%G +0.232%6.4%2026-03-19 16:40
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -13.16%E -7.74%K -18.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +0.276%E +0.135%K +0.263%G +0.001%7.6%2026-03-19 16:39
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -15.71%E -9.52%K -24.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV +0.276%E +0.135%K +0.263%G +0.001%9.4%2026-03-19 16:39
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.52%E -3.56%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:44
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.54%E -4.16%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 16:39
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.54%E -4.16%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 16:39
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.54%E -4.16%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 16:39
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 16:44
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:44
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:44
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.62%E -6.72%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 16:44
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -12.65%E -7.39%K -17.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 16:44
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -2.66%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:36
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:36
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.52%E -3.56%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 16:38
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 16:44
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 16:29
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:29
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:44
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:44
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.49%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 16:35
ReBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.45%E -1.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.08%E -3.17%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:24
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 16:30
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 16:44
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:45
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:26
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.49%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 16:44
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:45
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.00%E -3.26%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:44
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.00%E -3.26%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:44
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -7.55%E -3.99%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:31
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:44
PMU (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -7.54%E -4.16%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-19 16:44
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.385%E -0.197%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:44
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.385%E -0.197%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:29
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -1.41%E -0.729%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 16:24
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.49%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 16:29
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV +0.126%E +0.064%K +0.131%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -10.00%E -5.43%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:44
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -0.385%E -0.197%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -10.48%E -5.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 16:45
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.48%E -5.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:45
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -1.41%E -0.729%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -10.97%E -6.03%K -13.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 16:45
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV +0.637%E +0.323%K +0.656%G +0.004%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -11.46%E -6.33%K -14.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 16:44
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -1.41%E -0.729%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -11.46%E -6.33%K -14.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.95%E -6.64%K -14.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 16:45
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.95%E -6.64%K -14.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 16:45
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -12.44%E -6.95%K -15.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 16:44
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-03-19 16:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-03-19 16:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-03-19 16:45
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.3%2026-03-19 16:44
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%1.7%2026-03-19 16:39
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%2.9%2026-03-19 16:45
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%2.9%2026-03-19 16:39