A Escola das Odds

Zhizhen Zhang v Adrian Mannarino

Início: 2026-03-19 17:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Zhizhen Zhang (Local)

Previsão 51.08%1.96odd justa
EV +0.637%
Vantagem +0.323%
Kelly +0.656%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.88%51.24%50.92%57.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.611.851.871.9762.11%53.95%53.48%50.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Adrian Mannarino (Visitante)

Previsão 48.92%2.04odd justa
EV +7.61%
Vantagem +3.46%
Kelly +6.34%
Crescimento +0.483%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.26%48.76%49.08%52.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.791.921.912.2055.87%52.01%52.36%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -17.75%E -11.03%K -29.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +7.61%E +3.46%K +6.34%G +0.483%7.6%2026-03-19 16:39
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -14.69%E -8.80%K -21.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +5.17%E +2.40%K +4.49%G +0.232%6.4%2026-03-19 16:40
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -13.16%E -7.74%K -18.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +0.276%E +0.135%K +0.263%G +0.001%7.6%2026-03-19 16:39
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -15.71%E -9.52%K -24.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV +0.276%E +0.135%K +0.263%G +0.001%9.4%2026-03-19 16:39
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.52%E -3.56%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 16:44
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.54%E -4.16%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 16:39
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.54%E -4.16%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 16:39
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.54%E -4.16%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 16:39
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 16:44
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:44
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:44
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.62%E -6.72%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 16:44
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -12.65%E -7.39%K -17.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -2.17%E -1.08%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 16:44
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -2.66%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:36
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:36
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.52%E -3.56%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 16:38
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 16:44
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 16:29
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:29
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:44
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:44
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.49%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.59%E -2.90%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 16:35
ReBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.45%E -1.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.08%E -3.17%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:24
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 16:30
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 16:44
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:45
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:26
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.49%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.57%E -3.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 16:44
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:45
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.00%E -3.26%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:44
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.00%E -3.26%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -7.06%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:44
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -7.55%E -3.99%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:31
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -2.94%E -1.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:44
PMU (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.39%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -7.54%E -4.16%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -8.53%E -4.56%K -9.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-19 16:44
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.385%E -0.197%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:44
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.385%E -0.197%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:29
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -1.41%E -0.729%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 16:24
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.49%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 16:29
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV +0.126%E +0.064%K +0.131%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -10.00%E -5.43%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:44
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -0.385%E -0.197%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -10.48%E -5.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 16:45
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.48%E -5.73%K -12.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:45
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -1.41%E -0.729%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -10.97%E -6.03%K -13.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 16:45
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV +0.637%E +0.323%K +0.656%G +0.004%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -11.46%E -6.33%K -14.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 16:44
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -1.41%E -0.729%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -11.46%E -6.33%K -14.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.95%E -6.64%K -14.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 16:45
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.95%E -6.64%K -14.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 16:45
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -2.43%E -1.27%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -12.44%E -6.95%K -15.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 16:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-03-19 16:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-03-19 16:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-03-19 16:45
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.3%2026-03-19 16:44
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%1.7%2026-03-19 16:39
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%2.9%2026-03-19 16:45
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%2.9%2026-03-19 16:39