StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Marin Cilic v Alexei Popyrin

Matchstart: 2026-03-19 19:45 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Marin Cilic (Hemma)

Prognos 57.86%1.73rättvist odds
EV -2.21%
Fördel -1.31%
Kelly -3.21%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.69

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
55.99%58.00%57.69%60.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.571.621.611.6963.69%61.64%62.11%59.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Alexei Popyrin (Borta)

Prognos 42.14%2.37rättvist odds
EV +0.290%
Fördel +0.122%
Kelly +0.210%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.38

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.75%42.00%42.31%44.01%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.152.282.282.3846.51%43.87%43.86%42.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Marin Cilic (Hemma): 57.86%; Alexei Popyrin (Borta): 42.14%. För Alexei Popyrin (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.37. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.38, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.290%.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:39
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:39
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 19:39
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 19:40
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 19:40
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 19:38
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -3.50%E -1.53%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 19:40
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -8.58%E -5.43%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.77%E -2.11%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:39
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 19:38
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 19:40
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:39
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:40
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:38
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:39
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:40
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:40
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 19:40
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -8.00%E -5.03%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 19:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:39
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:40
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.03%E -2.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:40
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 19:40
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:39
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 19:29
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 19:28
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.21%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-19 19:40
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-19 19:40
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-03-19 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-19 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-19 19:40
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-03-19 19:40
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-03-19 19:40