مدرسة الاحتمالات

Marin Cilic v Alexei Popyrin

البداية: 2026-03-19 19:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Marin Cilic (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.86%1.73السعر العادل
EV -2.21%
الأفضلية -1.31%
Kelly -3.21%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.99%58.00%57.69%60.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.621.611.6963.69%61.64%62.11%59.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alexei Popyrin (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.14%2.37السعر العادل
EV +0.290%
الأفضلية +0.122%
Kelly +0.210%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.75%42.00%42.31%44.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.282.282.3846.51%43.87%43.86%42.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:39
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:39
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 19:39
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 19:40
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 19:40
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:39
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 19:38
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -3.50%E -1.53%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 19:40
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 19:40
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 19:40
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:39
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -8.58%E -5.43%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:39
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.77%E -2.11%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:39
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 19:38
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 19:40
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:39
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:40
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:38
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:39
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:40
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:40
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:40
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:40
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 19:40
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -8.00%E -5.03%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 19:39
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:39
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:40
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.03%E -2.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:40
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 19:40
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:29
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 19:29
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 19:28
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.21%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 19:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-19 19:40
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-19 19:40
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-03-19 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-19 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-19 19:40
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-03-19 19:40
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-03-19 19:40