Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Marin Cilic v Alexei Popyrin

Inizio: 2026-03-19 19:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

54 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Marin Cilic (Casa)

Previsione 57.86%1.73quota equa
EV -2.21%
Vantaggio -1.31%
Kelly -3.21%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.99%58.00%57.69%60.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.621.611.6963.69%61.64%62.11%59.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alexei Popyrin (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.14%2.37quota equa
EV +0.290%
Vantaggio +0.122%
Kelly +0.210%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.75%42.00%42.31%44.01%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.282.282.3846.51%43.87%43.86%42.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Marin Cilic (Casa): 57.86%; Alexei Popyrin (Trasferta): 42.14%. Per Alexei Popyrin (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.37. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.38, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.290%.

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:39
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:39
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 19:39
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 19:40
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 19:40
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 19:38
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -3.50%E -1.53%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 19:40
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -8.58%E -5.43%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.77%E -2.11%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:39
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 19:38
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 19:40
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:39
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:40
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:38
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:39
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:40
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:40
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 19:40
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -8.00%E -5.03%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 19:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:39
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:40
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.03%E -2.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:40
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 19:40
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:39
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 19:29
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 19:28
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.21%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-19 19:40
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-19 19:40
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-03-19 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-19 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-19 19:40
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-03-19 19:40
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-03-19 19:40