La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Marin Cilic v Alexei Popyrin
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Marin Cilic (Casa)
Previsione 57.86%1.73quota equa
EV -2.21%
Vantaggio -1.31%
Kelly -3.21%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.99%58.00%57.69%60.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.621.611.6963.69%61.64%62.11%59.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Alexei Popyrin (Trasferta)
Previsione 42.14%2.37quota equa
EV +0.290%
Vantaggio +0.122%
Kelly +0.210%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.75%42.00%42.31%44.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.282.282.3846.51%43.87%43.86%42.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Casumo | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Unibet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| betPARX | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 19:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 19:38 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -3.50%E -1.53%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -8.58%E -5.43%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 19:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.77%E -2.11%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 19:39 |
| Bovada | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 19:38 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:38 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:39 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| ReBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -8.00%E -5.03%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 19:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 19:39 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.03%E -2.70%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 19:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 19:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 19:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 19:28 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.21%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| ProphetX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 2.3% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Novig | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 2.3% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |