Marin Cilic v Alexei Popyrin

Inicio: 2026-03-19 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (17 en el análisis )

58%

42%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Marin Cilic (Local)

Predicción 57.86%1.73momio equitativo

EV -2.21%

Ventaja -1.31%

Kelly -3.21%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

55.99%58.00%57.69%60.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.571.621.611.6963.69%61.64%62.11%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alexei Popyrin (Visitante)

Predicción 42.14%2.37momio equitativo

EV +0.290%

Ventaja +0.122%

Kelly +0.210%

Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

39.75%42.00%42.31%44.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

2.152.282.282.3846.51%43.87%43.86%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
888sport	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001%	5.7%	2026-03-19 19:40
William Hill	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001%	5.7%	2026-03-19 19:40
888sport (SE)	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001%	5.7%	2026-03-19 19:40
Mr Green (SE)	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001%	5.7%	2026-03-19 19:40
FanDuel	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-19 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-19 19:40
Unibet (NL)	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-19 19:39
LeoVegas	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-19 19:40
Casumo	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-19 19:40
Unibet (SE)	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-19 19:40
LiveScore Bet	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-19 19:40
Grosvenor	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-19 19:40
TABtouch	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-19 19:39
BetRivers	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-19 19:40
Unibet	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-19 19:40
Bally Bet	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-19 19:40
ATG (SE)	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-19 19:40
betPARX	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-19 19:40
Svenska Spel	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-19 19:40
Marathon Bet	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%	2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-19 19:39
SportsBet	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%	2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-19 19:40
1xBet	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-03-19 19:40
BoyleSports	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-19 19:40
Paddy Power	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-19 19:39
Hard Rock Bet	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-19 19:38
Pinnacle	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -3.50%E -1.53%K -2.72%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-03-19 19:40
LowVig.ag	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-03-19 19:40
BetOnline.ag	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-03-19 19:40
Bet Right	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-19 19:39
Virgin Bet	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -8.58%E -5.43%K -14.79%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-19 19:39
Unibet (FR)	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.77%E -2.11%K -3.78%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-03-19 19:39
Bovada	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-19 19:38
Fanatics	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-19 19:40
Betway	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-19 19:39
NordicBet	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-19 19:40
Betsson	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-19 19:38
Unibet (UK)	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-19 19:39
BetUS	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-19 19:40
theScore Bet	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-19 19:40
ReBet	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-19 19:40
PointsBet (AU)	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-19 19:40
Betr (AU)	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-03-19 19:40
Fliff	1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -8.00%E -5.03%K -13.56%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-19 19:39
PMU (FR)	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-03-19 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-03-19 19:39
Coral	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-03-19 19:40
DraftKings	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.03%E -2.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-19 19:40
PlayUp	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-19 19:40
TAB	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-19 19:39
Parions Sport (FR)	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-19 19:29
NetBet (FR)	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-19 19:29
Bet Victor	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-03-19 19:28
Caesars	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.21%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-03-19 19:40
Everygame	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-19 19:40

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%	0.6%	2026-03-19 19:40
Matchbook	1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%	0.6%	2026-03-19 19:40
ProphetX	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%	2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%	0.9%	2026-03-19 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%	2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%	0.9%	2026-03-19 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%	2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%	0.9%	2026-03-19 19:40
Smarkets	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%	2.3%	2026-03-19 19:40
Novig	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%	2.3%	2026-03-19 19:40