Szkoła Kursów

Marin Cilic v Alexei Popyrin

Początek: 2026-03-19 19:45 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

54 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Marin Cilic (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 57.86%1.73kurs godziwy
EV -2.21%
Przewaga -1.31%
Kelly -3.21%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.69

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
55.99%58.00%57.69%60.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.571.621.611.6963.69%61.64%62.11%59.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Alexei Popyrin (Goście)

Prognoza 42.14%2.37kurs godziwy
EV +0.290%
Przewaga +0.122%
Kelly +0.210%
Wzrost +0.001%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.38

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
39.75%42.00%42.31%44.01%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.152.282.282.3846.51%43.87%43.86%42.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (54 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:39
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:39
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 19:39
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 19:40
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 19:40
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:39
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 19:38
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -3.50%E -1.53%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 19:40
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 19:40
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 19:40
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:39
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -8.58%E -5.43%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:39
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.77%E -2.11%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:39
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 19:38
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 19:40
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:39
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:40
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:38
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:39
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:40
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:40
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:40
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:40
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 19:40
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -8.00%E -5.03%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 19:39
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:39
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:40
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.03%E -2.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:40
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 19:40
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:29
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 19:29
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 19:28
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.21%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-19 19:40
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-19 19:40
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-03-19 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-19 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-19 19:40
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-03-19 19:40
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-03-19 19:40