Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Marin Cilic v Alexei Popyrin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Marin Cilic (Local)

Prévision 57.86%1.73cote équitable
EV -2.21%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -3.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.99%58.00%57.69%60.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.571.621.611.6963.69%61.64%62.11%59.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Alexei Popyrin (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.14%2.37cote équitable
EV +0.290%
Avantage +0.122%
Kelly +0.210%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.75%42.00%42.31%44.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.282.282.3846.51%43.87%43.86%42.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Marin Cilic (Local) : 57.86% ; Alexei Popyrin (Visiteur) : 42.14%. Pour Alexei Popyrin (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.37. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.38, soit une espérance positive de +0.290%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +0.290%E +0.122%K +0.210%G +0.001%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:39
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:39
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.24%E -0.965%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 19:39
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -2.66%E -1.15%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 19:40
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 19:40
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.08%E -1.34%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 19:38
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -3.50%E -1.53%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.79%E -1.66%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 19:40
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -8.58%E -5.43%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.92%E -1.72%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.77%E -2.11%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:39
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 19:38
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 19:40
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:39
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:40
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:38
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:39
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:40
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:40
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 19:40
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -8.00%E -5.03%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 19:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:39
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.16%E -5.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:40
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.37%E -2.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.03%E -2.70%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:40
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.53%E -2.74%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 19:40
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:39
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.84%E -4.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 19:29
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.42%E -4.64%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 19:28
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.21%E -1.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 19:40
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.26%E -3.87%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.40%E -4.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-19 19:40
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-19 19:40
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-03-19 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-19 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-19 19:40
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-03-19 19:40
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-03-19 19:40