A Escola das Odds

Frances Tiafoe v Jakub Mensik

Início: 2026-03-23 18:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Frances Tiafoe (Local)

Previsão 41.55%2.41odd justa
EV -1.95%
Vantagem -0.826%
Kelly -1.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.57%41.54%41.60%46.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.072.262.272.3648.31%44.21%44.05%42.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jakub Mensik (Visitante)

Previsão 58.45%1.71odd justa
EV +3.46%
Vantagem +1.96%
Kelly +4.50%
Crescimento +0.156%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.91%58.46%58.40%59.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.571.621.621.7763.69%61.64%61.73%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -14.00%E -6.76%K -13.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV +3.46%E +1.96%K +4.50%G +0.156%4.8%2026-03-23 18:39
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -1.21%E -0.719%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 18:39
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.77%E -3.50%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.97%E -1.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 18:45
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.55%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 18:44
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.55%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 18:35
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -1.95%E -0.826%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-23 18:44
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -1.95%E -0.826%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-23 18:44
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.36%E -1.01%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-23 18:34
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 18:29
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-23 18:45
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:35
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:35
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:34
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:34
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:34
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:35
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:35
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.69%E -2.51%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 18:34
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 18:44
FanDuel2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 18:35
Unibet (UK)2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.03%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 18:29
Unibet (FR)2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.03%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 18:35
ReBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.03%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 18:29
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:34
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:34
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:34
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:35
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:32
DraftKings2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -5.69%E -2.51%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 18:34
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:29
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:34
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:34
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:34
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:33
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -12.75%E -6.07%K -11.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-23 18:39
SportsBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.61%E -1.56%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:34
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 18:29
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 18:29
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 18:29
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.35%E -3.30%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 18:34
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.35%E -3.30%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 18:35
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.35%E -3.30%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 18:34
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 18:45
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 18:34
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 18:35
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 18:34
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 18:34
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 18:35
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.06%E -4.44%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-23 18:34
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 18:29
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-23 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-23 18:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-03-23 18:45
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-03-23 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-03-23 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-03-23 18:44
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-03-23 18:45
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%1.9%2026-03-23 18:39
Novig2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%3.7%2026-03-23 18:41