La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Frances Tiafoe v Jakub Mensik
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Frances Tiafoe (Casa)
Previsione 41.55%2.41quota equa
EV -1.95%
Vantaggio -0.826%
Kelly -1.43%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.36
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.57%41.54%41.60%46.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.072.262.272.3648.31%44.21%44.05%42.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Jakub Mensik (Trasferta)
Previsione 58.45%1.71quota equa
EV +3.46%
Vantaggio +1.96%
Kelly +4.50%
Crescita +0.156%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.91%58.46%58.40%59.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.621.621.7763.69%61.64%61.73%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -14.00%E -6.76%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV +3.46%E +1.96%K +4.50%G +0.156% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -1.21%E -0.719%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| Bet Right | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.77%E -3.50%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.97%E -1.79%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.55%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.55%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -1.95%E -0.826%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -1.95%E -0.826%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.36%E -1.01%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Bally Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.69%E -2.51%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| FanDuel | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.03%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.03%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| ReBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.03%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:32 |
| DraftKings | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -5.69%E -2.51%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 18:33 |
| Fliff | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -12.75%E -6.07%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.61%E -1.56%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.35%E -3.30%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.35%E -3.30%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.35%E -3.30%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.06%E -4.44%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| ProphetX | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 1.9% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| Novig | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79% | 3.7% | 2026-03-23 18:41 |