Die Wettquotenschule

Frances Tiafoe v Jakub Mensik

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-23 18:50 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Frances Tiafoe (Heim)

Prognose 41.55%2.41faire Quote
EV -1.95%
Vorteil -0.826%
Kelly -1.43%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.36

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
40.57%41.54%41.60%46.09%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.072.262.272.3648.31%44.21%44.05%42.37%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Jakub Mensik (Auswärts)

Prognose 58.45%1.71faire Quote
EV +3.46%
Vorteil +1.96%
Kelly +4.50%
Wachstum +0.156%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.77

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.91%58.46%58.40%59.43%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.571.621.621.7763.69%61.64%61.73%56.50%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -14.00%E -6.76%K -13.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV +3.46%E +1.96%K +4.50%G +0.156%4.8%2026-03-23 18:39
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -1.21%E -0.719%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 18:39
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.77%E -3.50%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.97%E -1.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 18:45
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.55%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 18:44
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.55%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 18:35
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -1.95%E -0.826%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-23 18:44
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -1.95%E -0.826%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-23 18:44
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.36%E -1.01%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-23 18:34
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 18:29
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-23 18:45
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:35
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:35
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:34
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:34
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:34
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:35
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:35
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.69%E -2.51%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 18:34
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 18:44
FanDuel2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 18:35
Unibet (UK)2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.03%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 18:29
Unibet (FR)2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.03%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 18:35
ReBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.03%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 18:29
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:34
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:34
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:34
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:35
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:32
DraftKings2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -5.69%E -2.51%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 18:34
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:29
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:34
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:34
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:34
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:33
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -12.75%E -6.07%K -11.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-23 18:39
SportsBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.61%E -1.56%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:34
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 18:29
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 18:29
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 18:29
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.35%E -3.30%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 18:34
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.35%E -3.30%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 18:35
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.35%E -3.30%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 18:34
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 18:45
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 18:34
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 18:35
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 18:34
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 18:34
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 18:35
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.06%E -4.44%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-23 18:34
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 18:29
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-23 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-23 18:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-03-23 18:45
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-03-23 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-03-23 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-03-23 18:44
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-03-23 18:45
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%1.9%2026-03-23 18:39
Novig2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%3.7%2026-03-23 18:41