Szkoła Kursów

Frances Tiafoe v Jakub Mensik

Początek: 2026-03-23 18:50 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Frances Tiafoe (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 41.55%2.41kurs godziwy
EV -1.95%
Przewaga -0.826%
Kelly -1.43%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.36

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.57%41.54%41.60%46.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.072.262.272.3648.31%44.21%44.05%42.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Jakub Mensik (Goście)

Prognoza 58.45%1.71kurs godziwy
EV +3.46%
Przewaga +1.96%
Kelly +4.50%
Wzrost +0.156%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.77

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
53.91%58.46%58.40%59.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.571.621.621.7763.69%61.64%61.73%56.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -14.00%E -6.76%K -13.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV +3.46%E +1.96%K +4.50%G +0.156%4.8%2026-03-23 18:39
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -1.21%E -0.719%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 18:39
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.77%E -3.50%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.97%E -1.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 18:45
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.55%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 18:44
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.55%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 18:35
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -1.95%E -0.826%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-23 18:44
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -1.95%E -0.826%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-23 18:44
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.36%E -1.01%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-23 18:34
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 18:29
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-23 18:45
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:35
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:35
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:34
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:34
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:34
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:35
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:35
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.69%E -2.51%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 18:34
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 18:44
FanDuel2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 18:35
Unibet (UK)2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.03%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 18:29
Unibet (FR)2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.03%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 18:35
ReBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.03%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 18:29
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:34
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:34
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:34
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:35
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:32
DraftKings2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -5.69%E -2.51%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 18:34
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:29
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:34
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:34
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:34
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 18:33
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -12.75%E -6.07%K -11.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-23 18:39
SportsBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.61%E -1.56%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 18:34
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 18:29
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 18:29
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 18:29
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.35%E -3.30%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 18:34
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.35%E -3.30%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 18:35
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.35%E -3.30%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 18:34
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 18:45
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 18:34
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 18:35
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 18:34
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 18:34
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 18:35
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.06%E -4.44%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-23 18:34
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 18:29
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-23 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-23 18:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-03-23 18:45
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-03-23 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-03-23 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-03-23 18:44
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-03-23 18:45
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%1.9%2026-03-23 18:39
Novig2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%3.7%2026-03-23 18:41