La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Frances Tiafoe v Jakub Mensik
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Frances Tiafoe (Local)
Predicción 41.55%2.41momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -0.826%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.57%41.54%41.60%46.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.072.262.272.3648.31%44.21%44.05%42.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jakub Mensik (Visitante)
Predicción 58.45%1.71momio equitativo
EV +3.46%
Ventaja +1.96%
Kelly +4.50%
Crecimiento +0.156%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.91%58.46%58.40%59.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.621.621.7763.69%61.64%61.73%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -14.00%E -6.76%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV +3.46%E +1.96%K +4.50%G +0.156% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -1.21%E -0.719%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| Bet Right | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.77%E -3.50%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.97%E -1.79%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.55%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.55%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -1.95%E -0.826%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -1.95%E -0.826%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.36%E -1.01%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Bally Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.69%E -2.51%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| FanDuel | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.03%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.03%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| ReBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.03%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:32 |
| DraftKings | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -5.69%E -2.51%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 18:33 |
| Fliff | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -12.75%E -6.07%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.61%E -1.56%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.35%E -3.30%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.35%E -3.30%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.35%E -3.30%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.06%E -4.44%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| ProphetX | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 1.9% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| Novig | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79% | 3.7% | 2026-03-23 18:41 |