L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Frances Tiafoe v Jakub Mensik
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Frances Tiafoe (Local)
Prévision 41.55%2.41cote équitable
EV -1.95%
Avantage -0.826%
Kelly -1.43%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.57%41.54%41.60%46.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.072.262.272.3648.31%44.21%44.05%42.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Jakub Mensik (Visiteur)
Prévision 58.45%1.71cote équitable
EV +3.46%
Avantage +1.96%
Kelly +4.50%
Croissance +0.156%
avec la cote maximale 1.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.91%58.46%58.40%59.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.621.621.7763.69%61.64%61.73%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -14.00%E -6.76%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV +3.46%E +1.96%K +4.50%G +0.156% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -1.21%E -0.719%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| Bet Right | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.77%E -3.50%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.97%E -1.79%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.55%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.55%E -2.15%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -1.95%E -0.826%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -1.95%E -0.826%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.36%E -1.01%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Bally Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.14%E -2.52%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.27%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.69%E -2.51%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.72%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| FanDuel | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.78%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.03%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.03%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| ReBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.03%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:32 |
| DraftKings | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -5.69%E -2.51%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 18:33 |
| Fliff | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -12.75%E -6.07%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.61%E -1.56%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.35%E -3.30%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.35%E -3.30%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.35%E -3.30%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.89%E -3.66%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.52%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.06%E -4.44%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-23 18:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-23 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.60%E -3.91%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.23%E -5.24%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-23 18:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-03-23 18:44 |
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 18:45 |
| ProphetX | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 1.9% | 2026-03-23 18:39 |
| Novig | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79% | 3.7% | 2026-03-23 18:41 |