语言:简体中文
Fabian Marozsan v Joao Fonseca
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Fabian Marozsan (主队)
预测 30.34%3.30公平赔率
EV -1.09%
优势 -0.335%
Kelly -0.484%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.26
博彩公司预测分布
29.04%30.36%30.36%31.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.113.103.2633.33%32.15%32.26%30.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
Joao Fonseca (客队)
预测 69.66%1.44公平赔率
EV -2.48%
优势 -1.77%
Kelly -6.19%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.40
博彩公司预测分布
68.68%69.64%69.64%70.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.321.351.361.4075.76%73.80%73.53%71.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fabian Marozsan (主队)：30.34%；Joao Fonseca (客队)：69.66%。 对于“Fabian Marozsan (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.30。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.26，期望值为-1.09%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -1.09%E -0.335%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -3.87%E -2.80%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-19 19:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.40%E -0.430%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.40%E -0.430%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.40%E -0.430%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:53 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.22%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.52%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.87%E -2.80%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.34%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.34%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.87%E -2.80%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.57%E -3.33%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:52 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.65%E -4.97%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 19:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -6.86%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -6.86%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 19:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 19:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87% | 1.6% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.93% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.07% | 2.0% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |