The School of Odds

Fabian Marozsan v Joao Fonseca

Matchstart: 2026-03-19 20:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Fabian Marozsan (Hemma)

Prognos 30.34%3.30rättvist odds
EV -1.09%
Fördel -0.335%
Kelly -0.484%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.26

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.04%30.36%30.36%31.32%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.003.113.103.2633.33%32.15%32.26%30.67%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Joao Fonseca (Borta)

Prognos 69.66%1.44rättvist odds
EV -2.48%
Fördel -1.77%
Kelly -6.19%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
68.68%69.64%69.64%70.96%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.321.351.361.4075.76%73.80%73.53%71.43%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -1.09%E -0.335%K -0.484%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -3.87%E -2.80%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 19:35
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.40%E -0.430%K -0.621%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 19:54
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.40%E -0.430%K -0.621%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 19:54
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.40%E -0.430%K -0.621%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 19:54
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:53
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:30
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:45
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.22%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:40
DraftKings3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.52%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:55
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.87%E -2.80%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:54
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:29
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
ReBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:29
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:44
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:45
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.34%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 19:30
SportsBet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.34%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 19:30
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.87%E -2.80%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:55
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.57%E -3.33%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:52
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:55
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:30
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:30
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:44
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.65%E -4.97%K -19.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:55
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 19:54
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 19:29
LowVig.ag3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -6.86%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 19:30
BetOnline.ag3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -6.86%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 19:30
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 19:29
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 19:55
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 19:54
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:54
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:30
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:55
Fliff3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:54
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:55
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:30
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:55
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:54
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:54
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:44
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:55
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-03-19 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-03-19 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-03-19 19:55
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-03-19 19:55
ProphetX3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%1.6%2026-03-19 19:55
Novig3.51I 28.49%NM 27.93%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.07%2.0%2026-03-19 19:55
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-03-19 19:55