La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Fabian Marozsan v Joao Fonseca
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fabian Marozsan (Local)
Predicción 30.34%3.30momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.335%
Kelly -0.484%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.04%30.36%30.36%31.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.113.103.2633.33%32.15%32.26%30.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Joao Fonseca (Visitante)
Predicción 69.66%1.44momio equitativo
EV -2.48%
Ventaja -1.77%
Kelly -6.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.68%69.64%69.64%70.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.351.361.4075.76%73.80%73.53%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -1.09%E -0.335%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -3.87%E -2.80%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-19 19:35 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.40%E -0.430%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.40%E -0.430%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.40%E -0.430%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:53 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:45 |
| 1xBet | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.22%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.52%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| BetUS | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.87%E -2.80%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| betPARX | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Bally Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| ReBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:29 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:44 |
| Betsson | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.34%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| SportsBet | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.34%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.87%E -2.80%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Bet Right | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.57%E -3.33%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:52 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:44 |
| TAB | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.65%E -4.97%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 19:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -6.86%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -6.86%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 19:29 |
| BetRivers | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| TABtouch | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Fliff | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 19:44 |
| LeoVegas | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| ProphetX | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87% | 1.6% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Novig | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.93% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.07% | 2.0% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |