Sprache:Deutsch
Fabian Marozsan v Joao Fonseca
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Fabian Marozsan (Heim)
Prognose 30.34%3.30faire Quote
EV -1.09%
Vorteil -0.335%
Kelly -0.484%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 3.26
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.04%30.36%30.36%31.32%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.003.113.103.2633.33%32.15%32.26%30.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Joao Fonseca (Auswärts)
Prognose 69.66%1.44faire Quote
EV -2.48%
Vorteil -1.77%
Kelly -6.19%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.40
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
68.68%69.64%69.64%70.96%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.321.351.361.4075.76%73.80%73.53%71.43%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Fabian Marozsan (Heim): 30.34%; Joao Fonseca (Auswärts): 69.66%. Für Fabian Marozsan (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.30. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 3.26, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.09%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.
Wettanbieterquoten (52 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -1.09%E -0.335%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -3.87%E -2.80%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-19 19:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.40%E -0.430%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.40%E -0.430%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.40%E -0.430%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:53 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.22%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.52%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.87%E -2.80%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.34%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.34%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.87%E -2.80%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.57%E -3.33%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:52 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.65%E -4.97%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 19:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -6.86%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -6.86%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 19:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 19:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87% | 1.6% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.93% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.07% | 2.0% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |