Die Wettquotenschule

Fabian Marozsan v Joao Fonseca

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-19 20:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

52 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Fabian Marozsan (Heim)

Prognose 30.34%3.30faire Quote
EV -1.09%
Vorteil -0.335%
Kelly -0.484%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.26

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.04%30.36%30.36%31.32%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.003.113.103.2633.33%32.15%32.26%30.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Joao Fonseca (Auswärts)

Prognose 69.66%1.44faire Quote
EV -2.48%
Vorteil -1.77%
Kelly -6.19%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
68.68%69.64%69.64%70.96%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.321.351.361.4075.76%73.80%73.53%71.43%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (52 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -1.09%E -0.335%K -0.484%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -3.87%E -2.80%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 19:35
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.40%E -0.430%K -0.621%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 19:54
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.40%E -0.430%K -0.621%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 19:54
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.40%E -0.430%K -0.621%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 19:54
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:53
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:30
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:45
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.22%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:40
DraftKings3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.52%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:55
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.87%E -2.80%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:54
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:29
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
ReBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:29
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:44
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:45
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.34%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 19:30
SportsBet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.34%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 19:30
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.87%E -2.80%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:55
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.57%E -3.33%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:52
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:55
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:30
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:30
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:44
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.65%E -4.97%K -19.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:55
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 19:54
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 19:29
LowVig.ag3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -6.86%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 19:30
BetOnline.ag3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -6.86%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 19:30
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 19:29
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 19:55
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 19:54
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:54
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:30
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:55
Fliff3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:54
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:55
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:30
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:55
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:54
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:54
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:44
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:55
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-03-19 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-03-19 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-03-19 19:55
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-03-19 19:55
ProphetX3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%1.6%2026-03-19 19:55
Novig3.51I 28.49%NM 27.93%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.07%2.0%2026-03-19 19:55
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-03-19 19:55