Szkoła Kursów

Fabian Marozsan v Joao Fonseca

Początek: 2026-03-19 20:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Fabian Marozsan (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 30.34%3.30kurs godziwy
EV -1.09%
Przewaga -0.335%
Kelly -0.484%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.26

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.04%30.36%30.36%31.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.113.103.2633.33%32.15%32.26%30.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Joao Fonseca (Goście)

Prognoza 69.66%1.44kurs godziwy
EV -2.48%
Przewaga -1.77%
Kelly -6.19%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
68.68%69.64%69.64%70.96%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.321.351.361.4075.76%73.80%73.53%71.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -1.09%E -0.335%K -0.484%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -3.87%E -2.80%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 19:35
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.40%E -0.430%K -0.621%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 19:54
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.40%E -0.430%K -0.621%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 19:54
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.40%E -0.430%K -0.621%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 19:54
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:53
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:30
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:45
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.22%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:40
DraftKings3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.52%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:55
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.87%E -2.80%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:54
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:29
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:30
ReBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:29
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:44
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:45
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.34%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 19:30
SportsBet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.34%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 19:30
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.87%E -2.80%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:55
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.57%E -3.33%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:52
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:55
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:30
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:30
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:44
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.65%E -4.97%K -19.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:55
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 19:54
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 19:29
LowVig.ag3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -6.86%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 19:30
BetOnline.ag3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -6.86%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 19:30
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 19:29
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 19:55
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 19:54
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:54
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:30
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:55
Fliff3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:54
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:55
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:30
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:55
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:54
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:54
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:44
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:55
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:30
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-03-19 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-03-19 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-03-19 19:55
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-03-19 19:55
ProphetX3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%1.6%2026-03-19 19:55
Novig3.51I 28.49%NM 27.93%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.07%2.0%2026-03-19 19:55
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-03-19 19:55