La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Fabian Marozsan v Joao Fonseca
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Fabian Marozsan (Casa)
Previsione 30.34%3.30quota equa
EV -1.09%
Vantaggio -0.335%
Kelly -0.484%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.26
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.04%30.36%30.36%31.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.113.103.2633.33%32.15%32.26%30.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Joao Fonseca (Trasferta)
Previsione 69.66%1.44quota equa
EV -2.48%
Vantaggio -1.77%
Kelly -6.19%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.68%69.64%69.64%70.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.351.361.4075.76%73.80%73.53%71.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV -1.09%E -0.335%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -3.87%E -2.80%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-19 19:35 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.40%E -0.430%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.40%E -0.430%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.40%E -0.430%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:53 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.91%E -0.911%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:45 |
| 1xBet | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.22%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.52%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| BetUS | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.87%E -2.80%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| betPARX | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Bally Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| ReBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:29 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:44 |
| Betsson | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.34%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| SportsBet | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.34%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.87%E -2.80%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Bet Right | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.57%E -3.33%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:52 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:44 |
| TAB | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.65%E -4.97%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 19:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -6.86%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -6.86%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 19:29 |
| BetRivers | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| TABtouch | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.96%E -4.41%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Fliff | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.46%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.26%E -3.87%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 19:44 |
| LeoVegas | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.98%E -2.99%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.35%E -5.53%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| ProphetX | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87% | 1.6% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Novig | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.93% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.07% | 2.0% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |