The School of Odds

Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Sebastian Korda

Matchstart: 2026-03-21 01:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Hemma)

Prognos 9.28%10.77rättvist odds
EV +29.93%
Fördel +2.14%
Kelly +2.30%
Tillväxt +0.689%

med antagandet om högsta odds 14.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
6.79%10.07%9.05%15.73%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
6.009.189.5014.0016.67%10.89%10.53%7.14%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Sebastian Korda (Borta)

Prognos 90.72%1.10rättvist odds
EV +2.51%
Fördel +2.22%
Kelly +19.33%
Tillväxt +0.486%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.13

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
84.27%89.93%90.95%93.21%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.021.061.051.1398.04%93.95%95.24%88.50%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
theScore Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +29.93%E +2.14%K +2.30%G +0.689%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -7.47%E -7.32%K -373.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:25
Betway13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:25
Coral13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:25
Winamax (DE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:25
888sport13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.47%E -7.32%K -373.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 00:25
888sport (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.47%E -7.32%K -373.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 00:25
Mr Green (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.47%E -7.32%K -373.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 00:25
DraftKings11.40I 8.77%NM 8.51%EV +5.80%E +0.509%K +0.558%G +0.032%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.49%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.96%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 00:25
BoyleSports11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 00:25
Bovada11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 00:25
Winamax (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 00:25
PointsBet (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:25
NordicBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 00:25
FanDuel10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -2.55%E -0.243%K -0.268%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:25
Betsson10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -2.55%E -0.243%K -0.268%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 00:25
Unibet10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -2.55%E -0.243%K -0.268%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 00:25
ATG (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -2.55%E -0.243%K -0.268%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 00:25
Unibet (NL)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:25
Casumo10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:25
Unibet (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:25
Svenska Spel10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:25
betPARX10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:25
Hard Rock Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:24
TAB10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 00:25
Bet Victor9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.83%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 00:24
BetRivers9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.83%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 00:25
Paddy Power9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.83%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 00:20
Fliff9.10I 10.99%NM 10.17%EV -15.54%E -1.71%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.83%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 00:23
TABtouch9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 00:25
LiveScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 00:25
Grosvenor9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 00:25
Virgin Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 00:25
Fanatics9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 00:25
LeoVegas8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -21.11%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -21.11%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 00:24
Pinnacle7.01I 14.27%NM 13.88%EV -34.94%E -4.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.12%EV +2.51%E +2.22%K +19.33%G +0.486%2.8%2026-03-21 00:14
Caesars7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -35.03%E -5.00%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -2.02%E -1.87%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 00:23
Bet Right6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -37.35%E -5.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044%4.9%2026-03-21 00:09
SportsBet6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -37.82%E -5.64%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -0.209%E -0.190%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 00:13
BetOnline.ag6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -38.84%E -5.89%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215%4.5%2026-03-21 00:11
LowVig.ag6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -38.84%E -5.89%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215%4.5%2026-03-21 00:11
1xBet6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -39.30%E -6.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215%4.6%2026-03-21 00:05
BetUS6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -39.67%E -6.10%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044%5.5%2026-03-21 00:14
Bally Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -39.67%E -6.10%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044%5.5%2026-03-21 00:00
Unibet (FR)6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV -40.14%E -6.22%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.20%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215%4.8%2026-03-21 00:00
ReBet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -40.60%E -6.34%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215%4.9%2026-03-20 23:59
Parions Sport (FR)6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV -41.53%E -6.59%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044%6.0%2026-03-21 00:00
Marathon Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -41.99%E -6.72%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215%5.3%2026-03-21 00:03
Betr (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -41.99%E -6.72%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044%6.1%2026-03-21 00:00
GTbets6.18I 16.18%NM 15.46%EV -42.64%E -6.90%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.54%EV +2.51%E +2.22%K +19.33%G +0.486%4.7%2026-03-21 00:00
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -44.31%E -7.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215%6.0%2026-03-21 00:00
PlayUp6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -44.31%E -7.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215%6.0%2026-03-21 00:13
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -44.31%E -7.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -0.209%E -0.190%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 00:00
PMU (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -44.31%E -7.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -2.02%E -1.87%K -25.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 00:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.87%1.06I 94.34%NM 94.13%0.2%2026-03-21 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-03-21 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%1.0%2026-03-21 00:25
ProphetX13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%1.2%2026-03-21 00:25
Matchbook16.00I 6.25%NM 6.16%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.84%1.5%2026-03-21 00:25
Smarkets12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19%1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81%1.8%2026-03-21 00:25
Novig10.75I 9.30%NM 8.67%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.33%7.3%2026-03-21 00:25