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Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Sebastian Korda
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Хозяева)
Прогноз 9.28%10.77справедливый коэффициент
EV +29.93%
Преимущество +2.14%
Kelly +2.30%
Рост +0.689%
при максимальном коэффициенте 14.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
6.79%10.07%9.05%15.73%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
6.009.189.5014.0016.67%10.89%10.53%7.14%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Sebastian Korda (Гости)
Прогноз 90.72%1.10справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.51%
Преимущество +2.22%
Kelly +19.33%
Рост +0.486%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.13
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
84.27%89.93%90.95%93.21%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.021.061.051.1398.04%93.95%95.24%88.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Хозяева): 9.28%; Sebastian Korda (Гости): 90.72%. Для исхода «Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 10.77. 14 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 14.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +29.93%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (55 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +29.93%E +2.14%K +2.30%G +0.689% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -7.47%E -7.32%K -373.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.47%E -7.32%K -373.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.47%E -7.32%K -373.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.47%E -7.32%K -373.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 11.40I 8.77%NM 8.51%EV +5.80%E +0.509%K +0.558%G +0.032% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.49%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.96%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -2.55%E -0.243%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -2.55%E -0.243%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -2.55%E -0.243%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -2.55%E -0.243%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.83%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 00:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.83%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.83%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.17%EV -15.54%E -1.71%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.83%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 00:23 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -21.11%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -21.11%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 00:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.01I 14.27%NM 13.88%EV -34.94%E -4.98%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.12%EV +2.51%E +2.22%K +19.33%G +0.486% | 2.8% | 2026-03-21 00:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -35.03%E -5.00%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -2.02%E -1.87%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 00:23 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -37.35%E -5.53%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 00:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -37.82%E -5.64%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -0.209%E -0.190%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 00:13 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -38.84%E -5.89%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 00:11 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -38.84%E -5.89%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 00:11 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -39.30%E -6.01%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 00:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -39.67%E -6.10%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 00:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -39.67%E -6.10%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV -40.14%E -6.22%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.20%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -40.60%E -6.34%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 23:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV -41.53%E -6.59%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -41.99%E -6.72%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 00:03 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -41.99%E -6.72%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.18I 16.18%NM 15.46%EV -42.64%E -6.90%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.54%EV +2.51%E +2.22%K +19.33%G +0.486% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -44.31%E -7.39%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -44.31%E -7.39%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 00:13 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -44.31%E -7.39%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -0.209%E -0.190%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -44.31%E -7.39%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -2.02%E -1.87%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.87% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 94.13% | 0.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.16% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.84% | 1.5% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Novig◎ | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.67% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.33% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |