Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Sebastian Korda
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 9.28%10.77kurs godziwy
EV +29.93%
Przewaga +2.14%
Kelly +2.30%
Wzrost +0.689%
przy maksymalnym kursie 14.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
6.79%10.07%9.05%15.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
6.009.189.5014.0016.67%10.89%10.53%7.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Sebastian Korda (Goście)
Prognoza 90.72%1.10kurs godziwy
EV +2.51%
Przewaga +2.22%
Kelly +19.33%
Wzrost +0.486%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.13
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
84.27%89.93%90.95%93.21%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.021.061.051.1398.04%93.95%95.24%88.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +29.93%E +2.14%K +2.30%G +0.689% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -7.47%E -7.32%K -373.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Betway | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Coral | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| 888sport | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.47%E -7.32%K -373.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.47%E -7.32%K -373.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.47%E -7.32%K -373.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| DraftKings | 11.40I 8.77%NM 8.51%EV +5.80%E +0.509%K +0.558%G +0.032% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.49%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.96%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| BoyleSports | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Bovada | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| NordicBet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| FanDuel | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -2.55%E -0.243%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Betsson | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -2.55%E -0.243%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Unibet | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -2.55%E -0.243%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -2.55%E -0.243%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Casumo | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| betPARX | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:24 |
| TAB | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Bet Victor | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.83%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 00:24 |
| BetRivers | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.83%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Paddy Power | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.83%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| Fliff | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.17%EV -15.54%E -1.71%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.83%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 00:23 |
| TABtouch | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Grosvenor | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Fanatics | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| LeoVegas | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -21.11%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -21.11%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 00:24 |
| Pinnacle | 7.01I 14.27%NM 13.88%EV -34.94%E -4.98%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.12%EV +2.51%E +2.22%K +19.33%G +0.486% | 2.8% | 2026-03-21 00:14 |
| Caesars | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -35.03%E -5.00%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -2.02%E -1.87%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 00:23 |
| Bet Right | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -37.35%E -5.53%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 00:09 |
| SportsBet | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -37.82%E -5.64%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -0.209%E -0.190%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 00:13 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -38.84%E -5.89%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 00:11 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -38.84%E -5.89%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 00:11 |
| 1xBet | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -39.30%E -6.01%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 00:05 |
| BetUS | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -39.67%E -6.10%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 00:14 |
| Bally Bet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -39.67%E -6.10%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV -40.14%E -6.22%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.20%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| ReBet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -40.60%E -6.34%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 23:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV -41.53%E -6.59%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -41.99%E -6.72%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 00:03 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -41.99%E -6.72%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| GTbets | 6.18I 16.18%NM 15.46%EV -42.64%E -6.90%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.54%EV +2.51%E +2.22%K +19.33%G +0.486% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| William Hill | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -44.31%E -7.39%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| PlayUp | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -44.31%E -7.39%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 00:13 |
| Everygame | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -44.31%E -7.39%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -0.209%E -0.190%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -44.31%E -7.39%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -2.02%E -1.87%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.87% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 94.13% | 0.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| ProphetX | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Matchbook | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.16% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.84% | 1.5% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Novig | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.67% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.33% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |