La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Sebastian Korda
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Casa)
Previsione 9.28%10.77quota equa
EV +29.93%
Vantaggio +2.14%
Kelly +2.30%
Crescita +0.689%
ipotizzando la quota massima 14.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
6.79%10.07%9.05%15.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.009.189.5014.0016.67%10.89%10.53%7.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Sebastian Korda (Trasferta)
Previsione 90.72%1.10quota equa
EV +2.51%
Vantaggio +2.22%
Kelly +19.33%
Crescita +0.486%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.13
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
84.27%89.93%90.95%93.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.021.061.051.1398.04%93.95%95.24%88.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +29.93%E +2.14%K +2.30%G +0.689% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -7.47%E -7.32%K -373.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Betway | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Coral | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| 888sport | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.47%E -7.32%K -373.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.47%E -7.32%K -373.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.47%E -7.32%K -373.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| DraftKings | 11.40I 8.77%NM 8.51%EV +5.80%E +0.509%K +0.558%G +0.032% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.49%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.96%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| BoyleSports | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Bovada | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| NordicBet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| FanDuel | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -2.55%E -0.243%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Betsson | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -2.55%E -0.243%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Unibet | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -2.55%E -0.243%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -2.55%E -0.243%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Casumo | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| betPARX | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:24 |
| TAB | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Bet Victor | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.83%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 00:24 |
| BetRivers | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.83%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Paddy Power | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.83%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| Fliff | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.17%EV -15.54%E -1.71%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.83%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 00:23 |
| TABtouch | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Grosvenor | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Fanatics | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| LeoVegas | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -21.11%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -21.11%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 00:24 |
| Pinnacle | 7.01I 14.27%NM 13.88%EV -34.94%E -4.98%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.12%EV +2.51%E +2.22%K +19.33%G +0.486% | 2.8% | 2026-03-21 00:14 |
| Caesars | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -35.03%E -5.00%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -2.02%E -1.87%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 00:23 |
| Bet Right | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -37.35%E -5.53%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 00:09 |
| SportsBet | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -37.82%E -5.64%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -0.209%E -0.190%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 00:13 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -38.84%E -5.89%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 00:11 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -38.84%E -5.89%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 00:11 |
| 1xBet | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -39.30%E -6.01%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 00:05 |
| BetUS | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -39.67%E -6.10%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 00:14 |
| Bally Bet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -39.67%E -6.10%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV -40.14%E -6.22%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.20%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| ReBet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -40.60%E -6.34%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 23:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV -41.53%E -6.59%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -41.99%E -6.72%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 00:03 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -41.99%E -6.72%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| GTbets | 6.18I 16.18%NM 15.46%EV -42.64%E -6.90%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.54%EV +2.51%E +2.22%K +19.33%G +0.486% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| William Hill | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -44.31%E -7.39%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| PlayUp | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -44.31%E -7.39%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 00:13 |
| Everygame | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -44.31%E -7.39%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -0.209%E -0.190%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -44.31%E -7.39%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -2.02%E -1.87%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 00:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.87% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 94.13% | 0.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| ProphetX | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Matchbook | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.16% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.84% | 1.5% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Novig | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.67% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.33% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |