مدرسة الاحتمالات

Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Sebastian Korda

البداية: 2026-03-21 01:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (المضيف)

التنبؤ 9.28%10.77السعر العادل
EV +29.93%
الأفضلية +2.14%
Kelly +2.30%
النمو +0.689%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 14.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
6.79%10.07%9.05%15.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.009.189.5014.0016.67%10.89%10.53%7.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sebastian Korda (الضيف)

التنبؤ 90.72%1.10السعر العادل
EV +2.51%
الأفضلية +2.22%
Kelly +19.33%
النمو +0.486%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.13

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
84.27%89.93%90.95%93.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.021.061.051.1398.04%93.95%95.24%88.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
theScore Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +29.93%E +2.14%K +2.30%G +0.689%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -7.47%E -7.32%K -373.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:25
Betway13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:25
Coral13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:25
Winamax (DE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:25
888sport13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.47%E -7.32%K -373.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 00:25
888sport (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.47%E -7.32%K -373.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 00:25
Mr Green (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +20.65%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.355%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.47%E -7.32%K -373.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 00:25
DraftKings11.40I 8.77%NM 8.51%EV +5.80%E +0.509%K +0.558%G +0.032%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.49%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.96%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-21 00:25
BoyleSports11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 00:25
Bovada11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 00:25
Winamax (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 00:25
PointsBet (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:25
NordicBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.09%E +0.190%K +0.209%G +0.004%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 00:25
FanDuel10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -2.55%E -0.243%K -0.268%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 00:25
Betsson10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -2.55%E -0.243%K -0.268%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 00:25
Unibet10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -2.55%E -0.243%K -0.268%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 00:25
ATG (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -2.55%E -0.243%K -0.268%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 00:25
Unibet (NL)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:25
Casumo10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:25
Unibet (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:25
Svenska Spel10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:25
betPARX10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:25
Hard Rock Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:24
TAB10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -7.19%E -0.719%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 00:25
Bet Victor9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.83%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 00:24
BetRivers9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.83%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 00:25
Paddy Power9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.83%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 00:20
Fliff9.10I 10.99%NM 10.17%EV -15.54%E -1.71%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.83%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 00:23
TABtouch9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 00:25
LiveScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 00:25
Grosvenor9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 00:25
Virgin Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 00:25
Fanatics9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -16.47%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 00:25
LeoVegas8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -21.11%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -21.11%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -6.56%E -6.37%K -218.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 00:24
Pinnacle7.01I 14.27%NM 13.88%EV -34.94%E -4.98%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.12%EV +2.51%E +2.22%K +19.33%G +0.486%2.8%2026-03-21 00:14
Caesars7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -35.03%E -5.00%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -2.02%E -1.87%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 00:23
Bet Right6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -37.35%E -5.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044%4.9%2026-03-21 00:09
SportsBet6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -37.82%E -5.64%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -0.209%E -0.190%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 00:13
BetOnline.ag6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -38.84%E -5.89%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215%4.5%2026-03-21 00:11
LowVig.ag6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -38.84%E -5.89%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215%4.5%2026-03-21 00:11
1xBet6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -39.30%E -6.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215%4.6%2026-03-21 00:05
BetUS6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -39.67%E -6.10%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044%5.5%2026-03-21 00:14
Bally Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -39.67%E -6.10%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044%5.5%2026-03-21 00:00
Unibet (FR)6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV -40.14%E -6.22%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.20%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215%4.8%2026-03-21 00:00
ReBet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -40.60%E -6.34%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215%4.9%2026-03-20 23:59
Parions Sport (FR)6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV -41.53%E -6.59%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044%6.0%2026-03-21 00:00
Marathon Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -41.99%E -6.72%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215%5.3%2026-03-21 00:03
Betr (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -41.99%E -6.72%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV +0.698%E +0.629%K +6.35%G +0.044%6.1%2026-03-21 00:00
GTbets6.18I 16.18%NM 15.46%EV -42.64%E -6.90%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.54%EV +2.51%E +2.22%K +19.33%G +0.486%4.7%2026-03-21 00:00
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -44.31%E -7.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215%6.0%2026-03-21 00:00
PlayUp6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -44.31%E -7.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +1.61%E +1.43%K +13.38%G +0.215%6.0%2026-03-21 00:13
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -44.31%E -7.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -0.209%E -0.190%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 00:00
PMU (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -44.31%E -7.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -2.02%E -1.87%K -25.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 00:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.87%1.06I 94.34%NM 94.13%0.2%2026-03-21 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%0.9%2026-03-21 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%1.0%2026-03-21 00:25
ProphetX13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%1.2%2026-03-21 00:25
Matchbook16.00I 6.25%NM 6.16%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.84%1.5%2026-03-21 00:25
Smarkets12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19%1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81%1.8%2026-03-21 00:25
Novig10.75I 9.30%NM 8.67%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.33%7.3%2026-03-21 00:25