Школа коэффициентов

Alex Michelsen v Mattia Bellucci

Начало: 2026-03-20 01:10 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

50 букмекерских контор (15 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Alex Michelsen (Хозяева)

Прогноз 68.97%1.45справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.689%
Преимущество -0.479%
Kelly -1.57%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.44

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
65.63%68.69%69.20%70.65%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.331.391.401.4475.19%71.97%71.43%69.44%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Mattia Bellucci (Гости)

Прогноз 31.03%3.22справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.861%
Преимущество +0.265%
Kelly +0.383%
Рост +0.003%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.35%31.31%30.80%34.37%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.992.953.2536.36%33.49%33.90%30.77%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.861%E +0.265%K +0.383%G +0.003%4.3%2026-03-20 00:49
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.861%E +0.265%K +0.383%G +0.003%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 00:49
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 00:49
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 00:49
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -1.00%E -0.314%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 00:49
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -1.62%E -0.512%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-20 00:50
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.24%E -0.712%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:50
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.24%E -0.712%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:49
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.48%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 00:49
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.48%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 00:49
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 00:49
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 00:44
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:49
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 00:49
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 00:49
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:50
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.52%E -4.03%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 01:04
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 00:49
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 00:49
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.07%E -1.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 00:50
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:50
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:50
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -9.38%E -3.21%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 00:48
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 00:49
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 00:49
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 00:45
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -10.62%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 00:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -11.55%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 00:49
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.55%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 00:50
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:49
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:49
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.07%E -1.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 00:50
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-03-20 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-20 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-20 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-20 01:00
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-03-20 01:05
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 70.49%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.51%2.1%2026-03-20 01:04
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-03-20 01:05