L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Alex Michelsen v Mattia Bellucci
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alex Michelsen (Local)
Prévision 68.97%1.45cote équitable
EV -0.689%
Avantage -0.479%
Kelly -1.57%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.44
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.63%68.69%69.20%70.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.391.401.4475.19%71.97%71.43%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Mattia Bellucci (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.03%3.22cote équitable
EV +0.861%
Avantage +0.265%
Kelly +0.383%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.35%31.31%30.80%34.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.992.953.2536.36%33.49%33.90%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.861%E +0.265%K +0.383%G +0.003% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.861%E +0.265%K +0.383%G +0.003% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -1.00%E -0.314%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -1.62%E -0.512%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.24%E -0.712%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.24%E -0.712%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.48%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.48%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 00:44 |
| theScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.52%E -4.03%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 01:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Fliff | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.07%E -1.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Casumo | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -9.38%E -3.21%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 00:48 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| TAB | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 00:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -10.62%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -11.55%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.55%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.07%E -1.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-03-20 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 01:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-03-20 01:05 |
| Novig | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.49% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.51% | 2.1% | 2026-03-20 01:04 |
| Smarkets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64% | 2.2% | 2026-03-20 01:05 |