مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alex Michelsen v Mattia Bellucci

البداية: 2026-03-20 01:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alex Michelsen (المضيف)

التنبؤ 68.97%1.45السعر العادل
EV -0.689%
الأفضلية -0.479%
Kelly -1.57%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.63%68.69%69.20%70.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.331.391.401.4475.19%71.97%71.43%69.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Mattia Bellucci (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.03%3.22السعر العادل
EV +0.861%
الأفضلية +0.265%
Kelly +0.383%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.35%31.31%30.80%34.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.752.992.953.2536.36%33.49%33.90%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.861%E +0.265%K +0.383%G +0.003%4.3%2026-03-20 00:49
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.861%E +0.265%K +0.383%G +0.003%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 00:49
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 00:49
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 00:49
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -1.00%E -0.314%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 00:49
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -1.62%E -0.512%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-20 00:50
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.24%E -0.712%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:50
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.24%E -0.712%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:49
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.48%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 00:49
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.48%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 00:49
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 00:49
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 00:44
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:49
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 00:49
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 00:49
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:50
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.52%E -4.03%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 01:04
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 00:49
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 00:49
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.07%E -1.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 00:50
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:50
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:50
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -9.38%E -3.21%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 00:48
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 00:49
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 00:49
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 00:45
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -10.62%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 00:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -11.55%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 00:49
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.55%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 00:50
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:49
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:49
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.07%E -1.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 00:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-03-20 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-20 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-20 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-20 01:00
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-03-20 01:05
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 70.49%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.51%2.1%2026-03-20 01:04
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-03-20 01:05