Szkoła Kursów

Alex Michelsen v Mattia Bellucci

Początek: 2026-03-20 01:10 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

50 bukmacherów (15 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Alex Michelsen (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 68.97%1.45kurs godziwy
EV -0.689%
Przewaga -0.479%
Kelly -1.57%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.44

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.63%68.69%69.20%70.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.331.391.401.4475.19%71.97%71.43%69.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Mattia Bellucci (Goście)

Prognoza 31.03%3.22kurs godziwy
EV +0.861%
Przewaga +0.265%
Kelly +0.383%
Wzrost +0.003%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.35%31.31%30.80%34.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.752.992.953.2536.36%33.49%33.90%30.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (50 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.861%E +0.265%K +0.383%G +0.003%4.3%2026-03-20 00:49
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.861%E +0.265%K +0.383%G +0.003%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 00:49
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 00:49
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 00:49
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -1.00%E -0.314%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 00:49
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -1.62%E -0.512%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-20 00:50
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.24%E -0.712%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:50
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.24%E -0.712%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:49
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.48%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 00:49
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.48%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 00:49
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 00:49
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 00:44
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:49
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 00:49
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 00:49
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:50
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.52%E -4.03%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 01:04
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 00:49
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 00:49
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.07%E -1.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 00:50
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:50
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:50
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -9.38%E -3.21%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 00:48
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 00:49
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 00:49
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 00:45
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -10.62%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 00:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -11.55%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 00:49
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.55%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 00:50
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:49
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:49
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.07%E -1.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 00:50
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-03-20 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-20 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-20 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-20 01:00
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-03-20 01:05
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 70.49%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.51%2.1%2026-03-20 01:04
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-03-20 01:05