Die Wettquotenschule

Alex Michelsen v Mattia Bellucci

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-20 01:10 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

50 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Alex Michelsen (Heim)

Prognose 68.97%1.45faire Quote
EV -0.689%
Vorteil -0.479%
Kelly -1.57%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.44

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
65.63%68.69%69.20%70.65%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.331.391.401.4475.19%71.97%71.43%69.44%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Mattia Bellucci (Auswärts)

Prognose 31.03%3.22faire Quote
EV +0.861%
Vorteil +0.265%
Kelly +0.383%
Wachstum +0.003%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.35%31.31%30.80%34.37%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.752.992.953.2536.36%33.49%33.90%30.77%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (50 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.861%E +0.265%K +0.383%G +0.003%4.3%2026-03-20 00:49
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.861%E +0.265%K +0.383%G +0.003%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 00:49
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 00:49
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 00:49
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -1.00%E -0.314%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 00:49
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -1.62%E -0.512%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-20 00:50
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.24%E -0.712%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:50
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.24%E -0.712%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:49
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.48%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 00:49
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.48%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 00:49
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 00:49
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 00:44
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:49
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 00:49
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 00:49
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:50
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.52%E -4.03%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 01:04
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 00:49
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 00:49
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.07%E -1.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 00:50
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:50
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:50
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -9.38%E -3.21%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 00:48
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 00:49
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 00:49
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 00:45
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -10.62%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 00:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -11.55%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 00:49
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.55%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 00:50
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:49
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:49
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.07%E -1.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 00:49
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 00:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-03-20 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-20 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-20 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-20 01:00
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-03-20 01:05
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 70.49%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.51%2.1%2026-03-20 01:04
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-03-20 01:05