Sprache:Deutsch
Alex Michelsen v Mattia Bellucci
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Alex Michelsen (Heim)
Prognose 68.97%1.45faire Quote
EV -0.689%
Vorteil -0.479%
Kelly -1.57%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.44
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
65.63%68.69%69.20%70.65%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.331.391.401.4475.19%71.97%71.43%69.44%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Mattia Bellucci (Auswärts)
Prognose 31.03%3.22faire Quote
EV +0.861%
Vorteil +0.265%
Kelly +0.383%
Wachstum +0.003%
bei einer Höchstquote von 3.25
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.35%31.31%30.80%34.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.752.992.953.2536.36%33.49%33.90%30.77%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Alex Michelsen (Heim): 68.97%; Mattia Bellucci (Auswärts): 31.03%. Für Mattia Bellucci (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.22. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.25 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.861%.
Wettanbieterquoten (50 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.861%E +0.265%K +0.383%G +0.003% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.861%E +0.265%K +0.383%G +0.003% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -1.00%E -0.314%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -1.62%E -0.512%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.24%E -0.712%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.24%E -0.712%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.48%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.48%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 00:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.52%E -4.03%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 01:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.07%E -1.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -9.38%E -3.21%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 00:48 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 00:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -10.62%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -11.55%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.55%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.07%E -1.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-03-20 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-03-20 01:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.49% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.51% | 2.1% | 2026-03-20 01:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64% | 2.2% | 2026-03-20 01:05 |