La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Alex Michelsen v Mattia Bellucci
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Alex Michelsen (Casa)
Previsione 68.97%1.45quota equa
EV -0.689%
Vantaggio -0.479%
Kelly -1.57%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.63%68.69%69.20%70.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.391.401.4475.19%71.97%71.43%69.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Mattia Bellucci (Trasferta)
Previsione 31.03%3.22quota equa
EV +0.861%
Vantaggio +0.265%
Kelly +0.383%
Crescita +0.003%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.35%31.31%30.80%34.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.992.953.2536.36%33.49%33.90%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.861%E +0.265%K +0.383%G +0.003% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.861%E +0.265%K +0.383%G +0.003% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -1.00%E -0.314%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -1.62%E -0.512%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.24%E -0.712%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.24%E -0.712%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.48%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -3.48%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 00:44 |
| theScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.52%E -4.03%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 01:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Fliff | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.28%E -6.22%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.07%E -1.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Casumo | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.96%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -9.38%E -3.21%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 00:48 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| TAB | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.21%E -4.56%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 00:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -10.62%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -11.55%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.55%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -0.689%E -0.479%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.07%E -1.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-20 00:49 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-20 00:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-03-20 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 01:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-03-20 01:05 |
| Novig | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.49% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.51% | 2.1% | 2026-03-20 01:04 |
| Smarkets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64% | 2.2% | 2026-03-20 01:05 |