The School of Odds

Alex Michelsen v Jannik Sinner

Matchstart: 2026-03-24 21:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Alex Michelsen (Hemma)

Prognos 7.68%13.02rättvist odds
EV +30.57%
Fördel +1.80%
Kelly +1.91%
Tillväxt +0.584%

med antagandet om högsta odds 17.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
5.66%7.88%7.63%10.90%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
8.5012.0711.5017.0011.76%8.28%8.70%5.88%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Jannik Sinner (Borta)

Prognos 92.32%1.08rättvist odds
EV -2.14%
Fördel -2.02%
Kelly -35.69%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.06

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
89.10%92.12%92.37%94.34%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.56%96.15%94.34%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Paddy Power17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +30.57%E +1.80%K +1.91%G +0.584%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.83%E -5.72%K -291.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 20:35
theScore Bet16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +22.89%E +1.43%K +1.53%G +0.349%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.83%E -5.72%K -291.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 17:35
Winamax (DE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +15.21%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.165%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 20:24
FanDuel15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +15.21%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.165%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.83%E -5.72%K -291.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 19:59
SportsBet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +15.21%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.165%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.83%E -5.72%K -291.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 19:45
Betway15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +15.21%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.165%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.76%E -6.69%K -675.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-24 20:09
DraftKings14.80I 6.76%NM 6.62%EV +13.67%E +0.924%K +0.991%G +0.135%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.38%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-24 14:44
Winamax (FR)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +3.69%E +0.273%K +0.295%G +0.011%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-24 20:24
Ladbrokes (UK)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 20:39
Coral13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 20:40
ReBet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:24
Betsson13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:25
NordicBet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:25
PointsBet (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:30
Bovada13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:54
PMU (FR)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.76%E -6.69%K -675.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 19:59
GTbets12.98I 7.70%NM 7.35%EV -0.307%E -0.024%K -0.026%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.65%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:34
LowVig.ag12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -3.53%E -0.281%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 19:39
BetOnline.ag12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -3.53%E -0.281%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 19:40
Unibet (UK)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -3.99%E -0.320%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 20:04
Hard Rock Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.83%E -0.653%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-24 20:15
Parions Sport (FR)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.83%E -0.653%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 20:49
Marathon Bet11.75I 8.51%NM 8.06%EV -9.75%E -0.830%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.94%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 20:54
Fanatics11.75I 8.51%NM 8.06%EV -9.75%E -0.830%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.94%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 17:29
1xBet11.70I 8.55%NM 8.16%EV -10.14%E -0.867%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.84%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 20:54
Unibet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:15
TABtouch11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:15
BetRivers11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:14
LeoVegas11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:14
Grosvenor11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:15
Unibet (SE)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:14
LiveScore Bet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:14
Casumo11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:14
Unibet (NL)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:14
ATG (SE)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:14
Svenska Spel11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:14
betPARX11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:14
Bally Bet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:15
Betr (AU)11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -13.59%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 16:34
Bet Right11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -15.51%E -1.41%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 20:50
BetUS11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -15.51%E -1.41%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-24 19:43
BoyleSports10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.14%E -2.02%K -35.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 07:25
888sport10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 07:24
William Hill10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 07:29
888sport (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 11:45
Mr Green (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 11:45
PlayUp10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-24 08:39
Caesars10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-24 13:40
Virgin Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 19:44
TAB10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 13:50
Bet Victor8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -34.72%E -4.08%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 20:54
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99%1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01%0.2%2026-03-24 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99%1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01%0.2%2026-03-24 20:55
Matchbook20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99%1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01%0.2%2026-03-24 20:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%0.9%2026-03-24 20:35
ProphetX17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%1.0%2026-03-24 20:55
Novig18.18I 5.50%NM 5.41%1.04I 96.15%NM 94.59%1.7%2026-03-24 20:40
Smarkets20.00I 5.00%NM 4.90%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.10%2.1%2026-03-24 20:55