Die Wettquotenschule

Alex Michelsen v Jannik Sinner

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-24 21:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

52 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Alex Michelsen (Heim)

Prognose 7.68%13.02faire Quote
EV +30.57%
Vorteil +1.80%
Kelly +1.91%
Wachstum +0.584%

bei einer Höchstquote von 17.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
5.66%7.88%7.63%10.90%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
8.5012.0711.5017.0011.76%8.28%8.70%5.88%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Jannik Sinner (Auswärts)

Prognose 92.32%1.08faire Quote
EV -2.14%
Vorteil -2.02%
Kelly -35.69%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.06

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
89.10%92.12%92.37%94.34%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.56%96.15%94.34%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (52 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Paddy Power17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +30.57%E +1.80%K +1.91%G +0.584%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.83%E -5.72%K -291.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-24 20:35
theScore Bet16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +22.89%E +1.43%K +1.53%G +0.349%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.83%E -5.72%K -291.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 17:35
Winamax (DE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +15.21%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.165%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 20:24
FanDuel15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +15.21%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.165%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.83%E -5.72%K -291.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 19:59
SportsBet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +15.21%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.165%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.83%E -5.72%K -291.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 19:45
Betway15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +15.21%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.165%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.76%E -6.69%K -675.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-24 20:09
DraftKings14.80I 6.76%NM 6.62%EV +13.67%E +0.924%K +0.991%G +0.135%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.38%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-24 14:44
Winamax (FR)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +3.69%E +0.273%K +0.295%G +0.011%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-24 20:24
Ladbrokes (UK)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 20:39
Coral13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 20:40
ReBet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:24
Betsson13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:25
NordicBet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:25
PointsBet (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 17:30
Bovada13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:54
PMU (FR)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.76%E -6.69%K -675.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 19:59
GTbets12.98I 7.70%NM 7.35%EV -0.307%E -0.024%K -0.026%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.65%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:34
LowVig.ag12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -3.53%E -0.281%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 19:39
BetOnline.ag12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -3.53%E -0.281%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 19:40
Unibet (UK)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -3.99%E -0.320%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 20:04
Hard Rock Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.83%E -0.653%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-24 20:15
Parions Sport (FR)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.83%E -0.653%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 20:49
Marathon Bet11.75I 8.51%NM 8.06%EV -9.75%E -0.830%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.94%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 20:54
Fanatics11.75I 8.51%NM 8.06%EV -9.75%E -0.830%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.94%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 17:29
1xBet11.70I 8.55%NM 8.16%EV -10.14%E -0.867%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.84%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 20:54
Unibet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:15
TABtouch11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:15
BetRivers11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:14
LeoVegas11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:14
Grosvenor11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:15
Unibet (SE)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:14
LiveScore Bet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:14
Casumo11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:14
Unibet (NL)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:14
ATG (SE)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:14
Svenska Spel11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:14
betPARX11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:14
Bally Bet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 20:15
Betr (AU)11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -13.59%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 16:34
Bet Right11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -15.51%E -1.41%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 20:50
BetUS11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -15.51%E -1.41%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-24 19:43
BoyleSports10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.14%E -2.02%K -35.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 07:25
888sport10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 07:24
William Hill10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 07:29
888sport (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 11:45
Mr Green (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 11:45
PlayUp10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-24 08:39
Caesars10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-24 13:40
Virgin Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 19:44
TAB10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 13:50
Bet Victor8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -34.72%E -4.08%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 20:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99%1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01%0.2%2026-03-24 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99%1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01%0.2%2026-03-24 20:55
Matchbook20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99%1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01%0.2%2026-03-24 20:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%0.9%2026-03-24 20:35
ProphetX17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%1.0%2026-03-24 20:55
Novig18.18I 5.50%NM 5.41%1.04I 96.15%NM 94.59%1.7%2026-03-24 20:40
Smarkets20.00I 5.00%NM 4.90%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.10%2.1%2026-03-24 20:55