Langue:Français
Alex Michelsen v Jannik Sinner
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alex Michelsen (Local)
Prévision 7.68%13.02cote équitable
EV +30.57%
Avantage +1.80%
Kelly +1.91%
Croissance +0.584%
avec la cote maximale 17.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.66%7.88%7.63%10.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.5012.0711.5017.0011.76%8.28%8.70%5.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Jannik Sinner (Visiteur)
Prévision 92.32%1.08cote équitable
EV -2.14%
Avantage -2.02%
Kelly -35.69%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.06
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
89.10%92.12%92.37%94.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.56%96.15%94.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alex Michelsen (Local) : 7.68% ; Jannik Sinner (Visiteur) : 92.32%. Pour Alex Michelsen (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 13.02. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 17.00, soit une espérance positive de +30.57%.
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +30.57%E +1.80%K +1.91%G +0.584% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.83%E -5.72%K -291.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-24 20:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +22.89%E +1.43%K +1.53%G +0.349% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.83%E -5.72%K -291.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +15.21%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.165% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 20:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +15.21%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.165% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.83%E -5.72%K -291.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 19:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +15.21%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.165% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.83%E -5.72%K -291.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 19:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +15.21%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.165% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.76%E -6.69%K -675.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-24 20:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.62%EV +13.67%E +0.924%K +0.991%G +0.135% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.38%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-24 14:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +3.69%E +0.273%K +0.295%G +0.011% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-24 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -0.154%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.76%E -6.69%K -675.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-24 19:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 12.98I 7.70%NM 7.35%EV -0.307%E -0.024%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.65%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -3.53%E -0.281%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 19:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -3.53%E -0.281%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -3.99%E -0.320%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 20:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -7.83%E -0.653%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-24 20:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -7.83%E -0.653%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 20:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.06%EV -9.75%E -0.830%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.94%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 20:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.06%EV -9.75%E -0.830%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.94%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 17:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 11.70I 8.55%NM 8.16%EV -10.14%E -0.867%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.84%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 20:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -11.67%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -13.59%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 16:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -15.51%E -1.41%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 20:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -15.51%E -1.41%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 19:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.14%E -2.02%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 07:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 07:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 07:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.06%E -2.92%K -61.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 11:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 08:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 19:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -23.20%E -2.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.91%E -4.77%K -163.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -34.72%E -4.08%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -3.99%E -3.83%K -99.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-24 20:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01% | 0.2% | 2026-03-24 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01% | 0.2% | 2026-03-24 20:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01% | 0.2% | 2026-03-24 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 0.9% | 2026-03-24 20:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 1.0% | 2026-03-24 20:55 |
| Novig◎ | 18.18I 5.50%NM 5.41% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.59% | 1.7% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.90% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.10% | 2.1% | 2026-03-24 20:55 |